Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Iryna Shymanovich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7106702fd58cf1219b132aed9a64b61359ab179cbda8b7ddf9369bfa5e626ac3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Riberaof Ribera, Shymanovich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Ribera | 57c | 12,410$7,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,337.85 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddb…91aabacked Shymanovich | 43c | 3,788$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Shymanovich | 43c | 2,977$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.11 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Shymanovich | 43c | 2,649$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Ribera | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.99 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Shymanovich | 43c | 1,371$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.7 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shymanovich | 43c | 844.13$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.98 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Shymanovich | 44c | 739.2$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Shymanovich | 43c | 530$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.9 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Shymanovich | 46c | 479.59$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Shymanovich | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Ribera | 54c | 412.02$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.53 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Ribera | 27c | 401.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.26 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Shymanovich | 43c | 331$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.33 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Shymanovich | 43c | 280$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Shymanovich | 51c | 264.57$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.94 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Shymanovich | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Shymanovich | 43c | 230.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Shymanovich | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Shymanovich | 73c | 194.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.26 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Shymanovich | 26c | 151.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…f8c6backed Shymanovich | 71c | 142.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Ribera | 67c | 137.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Shymanovich | 43c | 121.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Ribera | 29c | 106$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Shymanovich | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Ribera | 44c | 47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Ribera | 26c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -8.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Ribera | 36c | 41.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…e7d4backed Shymanovich | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…f859backed Shymanovich | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Shymanovich | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…98abbacked Shymanovich | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3531…df06backed Shymanovich | 76c | 27.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.