TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UCF Knights vs. Kansas State Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UCF Knightsof UCF Knights, Kansas State Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,874
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,874 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Kansas State Wildcats55c3,741$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.355,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kansas State Wildcats57c3,496$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed UCF Knights45c3,337$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.182,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked UCF Knights43c3,221$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.9327450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed UCF Knights40c1,985$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.9539744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kansas State Wildcats51c1,774$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.544,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Kansas State Wildcats10c1,370$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.815520%11 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas State Wildcats56c1,364$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.81,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas State Wildcats13c1,301$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.082,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe51e…967abacked UCF Knights79c1,143$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed UCF Knights43c1,072$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.513053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked UCF Knights43c851$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.071,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Kansas State Wildcats55c819$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.4581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Kansas State Wildcats49c816$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.7272248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed UCF Knights45c807.13$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.11,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UCF Knights43c760$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.22,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed UCF Knights44c743.92$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.622250.9%113 W · 109 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd098…8c03backed Kansas State Wildcats55c738.32$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.085858.6%34 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49eb…6102backed UCF Knights46c728$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f77…f946backed UCF Knights46c718$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecbb…3947backed Kansas State Wildcats54c708$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3bd…e36dbacked Kansas State Wildcats54c698$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1196…6984backed Kansas State Wildcats54c688$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Kansas State Wildcats37c681.6$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0414021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a9…7b04backed Kansas State Wildcats54c678$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19c7…2d87backed UCF Knights46c668$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x134d…0555backed UCF Knights46c658$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Kansas State Wildcats9c520$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.81,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Kansas State Wildcats50c457.6$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0313840.6%56 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked UCF Knights40c435.92$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.012,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked UCF Knights43c418.6$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.67727.3%21 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Kansas State Wildcats59c394.92$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23379448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Kansas State Wildcats54c357$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7874152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Kansas State Wildcats28c354.08$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3557335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed UCF Knights67c314.28$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.641,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Kansas State Wildcats22c304.04$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.711,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b4…a506backed Kansas State Wildcats27c272.22$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.241225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked UCF Knights58c264.18$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.181080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+59.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Kansas State Wildcats55c253.17$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14049849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed UCF Knights42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.113561.5%83 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Kansas State Wildcats58c238.1$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.191848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kansas State Wildcats48c233.38$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.973,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed UCF Knights44c226.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6421050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Kansas State Wildcats25c219.12$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9645644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Kansas State Wildcats13c210.18$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.922,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UCF Knights44c200.03$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.685,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Kansas State Wildcats55c178.55$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.29144%40 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Kansas State Wildcats58c169.31$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.25250%26 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Kansas State Wildcats55c159.75$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4799045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Kansas State Wildcats10c155$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3317546.3%81 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed UCF Knights75c154$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0149747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas State Wildcats20c152.52$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Kansas State Wildcats26c143.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6148051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Kansas State Wildcats33c138.72$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7936942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kansas State Wildcats26c111.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.853,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4243…35d1backed UCF Knights68c105.84$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.841338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa09e…d061backed Kansas State Wildcats59c101.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Kansas State Wildcats58c95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.165825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Kansas State Wildcats27c90.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked UCF Knights74c87.2$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0945953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Kansas State Wildcats22c84.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5717122.8%39 W · 132 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked UCF Knights73c82.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.961,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Kansas State Wildcats60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481850%9 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked UCF Knights77c77.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.564047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed UCF Knights78c76.73$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.593,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked UCF Knights43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.522552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked UCF Knights42c41.05$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.814,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kansas State Wildcats60c40.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.062,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Kansas State Wildcats55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.820254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdd8…e7d4backed UCF Knights78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.46875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Kansas State Wildcats47c38.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1836535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf76b…8f52backed Kansas State Wildcats34c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.791931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Kansas State Wildcats58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed UCF Knights45c34.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.925657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe59c…e578backed UCF Knights76c29.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Kansas State Wildcats58c25.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.993663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7685…d406backed Kansas State Wildcats58c25.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-60.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2538…b975backed UCF Knights45c22.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Kansas State Wildcats55c18.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1810464.4%67 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.