Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Jurij Rodionov vs Zachary Svajda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ab1d5d0122ce17d94b8cf416b7815c4abe6dd090eb7820bd3da37af5a374dd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svajdaof Rodionov, Svajda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Rodionov | 37c | 8,005$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.73 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Svajda | 63c | 2,875$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.86 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Svajda | 63c | 2,566$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.42 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rodionov | 36c | 1,050$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.99 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Rodionov | 36c | 999.97$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Svajda | 73c | 982.32$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.65 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Svajda | 64c | 937.77$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.66 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Svajda | 63c | 694.96$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Svajda | 66c | 662.76$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.61 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Svajda | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Rodionov | 30c | 450.3$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.55 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Svajda | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Svajda | 64c | 228.51$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Rodionov | 5c | 199.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Svajda | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Svajda | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Svajda | 68c | 150.84$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Rodionov | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Rodionov | 37c | 134.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…f8c6backed Svajda | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Svajda | 70c | 114.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Svajda | 69c | 79.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Svajda | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Rodionov | 37c | 62.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…9ff7backed Rodionov | 25c | 59.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Svajda | 62c | 48.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Rodionov | 37c | 43.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Svajda | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…e7d4backed Svajda | 78c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ef…18a5backed Svajda | 77c | 34.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…3f2ebacked Svajda | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ab…219bbacked Rodionov | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Svajda | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Svajda | 63c | 28.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…cfbebacked Svajda | 63c | 26.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Svajda | 80c | 24.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Svajda | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Svajda | 63c | 22.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3531…df06backed Svajda | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.