TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x80e2…9ff7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 52 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST4438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.3
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Australian Open Men's: Dusan Lajovic vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Adelaide International: Kimberly Birrell vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Juncheng Shangbacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Australian Open Men's: Jurij Rodionov vs Zachary Svajdabacked Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Australian Open Men's: Leandro Riedi vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Australian Open Men's: James McCabe vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
ASB Classic: Nuno Borges vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Australian Open Men's: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+87.3%+$17.46
Adelaide International: Daria Kasatkina vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Australian Open Men's: Henrique Rocha vs Marco Trungellitibacked Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
ASB Classic: Marcos Giron vs Alex Michelsenbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.58
Adelaide International: Victoria Mboko vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+122.9%+$44.23
ASB Classic: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.93
ASB Classic: Fabian Marozsan vs Gael Monfilsbacked Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Adelaide International: Damir Dzumhur vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+87.5%+$35.02
Adelaide International: Tomas Machac vs James Duckworthbacked Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Titouan Droguet vs Nicolas Jarrybacked Jarry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Adelaide International, Qualification: Mina Hodzic vs Anna Blinkovabacked Hodzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+312%+$46.8
ASB Classic, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.91
Brisbane International: Rinky Hijikata vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+170.5%+$34.1
Brisbane International: Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
ASB Classic: Magda Linette vs Alexandra Ealabacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+156.4%+$39.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+163.2%+$49.36
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.93
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+284.6%+$42.69
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+194.1%+$22.28
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.3
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$53.02
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.06
Hawks vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Nets vs. Wizards: 1H Moneylinebacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+78.6%+$24.36
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Cavaliers vs. Rockets: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$18.66
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.56
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.