Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Aleksandar Vukic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b0bdf39ebd98bbfc3e492e5b9f366c0ad88e254e26fc0580383f8cf139cccb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiranteof Tirante, Vukic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x779a…ca34backed Tirante | 32c | 10,241$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,968.72 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Tirante | 35c | 10,004$3,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,544.64 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Vukic | 66c | 5,473$3,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.05 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Vukic | 66c | 5,300$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.12 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Vukic | 68c | 3,486$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.22 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Vukic | 65c | 3,083$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.19 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Vukic | 25c | 2,052$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.2 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Vukic | 70c | 1,421$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.38 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Vukic | 35c | 1,363$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.13 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Vukic | 69c | 1,036$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.84 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Vukic | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Vukic | 66c | 977.2$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.11 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tirante | 58c | 959.96$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.63 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Vukic | 68c | 852$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.8 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vukic | 34c | 751.14$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.79 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Tirante | 42c | 699.61$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.78 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tirante | 63c | 609.95$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.45 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tirante | 72c | 606.48$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.26 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vukic | 45c | 593.27$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.1 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76a…c5c9backed Vukic | 20c | 499.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Vukic | 66c | 444$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.04 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…4a3cbacked Vukic | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Vukic | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Vukic | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Vukic | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vukic | 40c | 291.04$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Vukic | 67c | 287.02$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.3 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Vukic | 27c | 257.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Tirante | 61c | 219.06$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.68 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Vukic | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Tirante | 29c | 160$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Vukic | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Vukic | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…8b69backed Vukic | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Tirante | 31c | 144.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Vukic | 66c | 140$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Vukic | 30c | 133.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Tirante | 30c | 126$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Tirante | 41c | 114.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vukic | 12c | 114.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Tirante | 63c | 100.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vukic | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…f81abacked Tirante | 66c | 91.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Vukic | 24c | 75.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Vukic | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Vukic | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Vukic | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Vukic | 28c | 71.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Vukic | 68c | 68.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Vukic | 37c | 64.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Tirante | 69c | 51.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Tirante | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Tirante | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bef…b7c2backed Vukic | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f13…8c78backed Vukic | 67c | 45.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Vukic | 36c | 44.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Vukic | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…38cebacked Vukic | 69c | 43.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Vukic | 69c | 43.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 364 | 64.3%234 W · 130 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Vukic | 60c | 38.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tirante | 55c | 37.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Vukic | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Vukic | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Vukic | 58c | 29.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b86…7899backed Vukic | 60c | 21.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e2…9ff7backed Vukic | 65c | 20.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…3679backed Vukic | 67c | 20.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Vukic | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…be67backed Vukic | 65c | 16.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Vukic | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Aleksandar Vukicthis page
- Set Handicap: Vukic (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)Tirante won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.