TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa660…f81a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst AI at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1675%12 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderibacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Australian Open Women's: Xinyu Wang vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+30.4%+$6.08
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
Australian Open Women's: Leylah Fernandez vs Janice Tjenbacked Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+39.2%+$7.6
Australian Open Women's: Tereza Valentova vs Maya Jointbacked Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+44%+$25.78
Australian Open Men's: Learner Tien vs Marcos Gironbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+62.3%+$63.7
Australian Open Men's: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.7%+$31.01
Australian Open Men's: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Jordan Thompsonbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
Australian Open Women's: Linda Klimovicova vs Francesca Jonesbacked Klimovicova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Australian Open Men's: Elias Ymer vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Ymer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.66
Australian Open Men's: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelkabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+30.7%+$30.7
Australian Open Men's: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+108.9%+$32.68
Australian Open Men's: Quentin Halys vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.75
Australian Open Women's: Olga Danilovic vs Venus Williamsbacked Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Australian Open Men's: Benjamin Bonzi vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+89.4%+$26.81
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.1%+$9.34
Suns vs. 76ersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+52%+$11.84
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$23.62
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+164.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.16
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.9%+$54.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SK Brann vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$30.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37%+$3.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Los Ratones vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+36.7%+$6.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+30.2%+$6.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.