TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
St. Bonaventure Bonniesof Loyola Chicago Ramblers, St. Bonaventure Bonnies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,354 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e29…9e66backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers7c2,400$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.965520%11 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers14c1,930$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.752,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies60c737.46$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.715,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies71c649.8$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.841,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers29c509.2$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.192,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers30c465.52$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.871,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies40c423$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.492,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…a26fbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2005545.5%25 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers52c339.27$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.375,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers50c283.32$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.611,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers46c190.31$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8629954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90b5…ad4abacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers67c187.14$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.38540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick73cpaid-44.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies53c187.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.291,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers51c114.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3572248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies60c101.33$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.263033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbba2…4e5cbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers30c99.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers47c96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6561446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ab…b10abacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers15c94.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14120%0 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521252.4%111 W · 101 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02e1…5600backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers64c86.61$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers14c81.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.721,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd363…e6d1backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503652.8%19 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers67c69.87$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.761,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies70c62$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.629442.9%126 W · 168 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers50c61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.594036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers21c58.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.512,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.632948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf71a…fa40backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies51c49.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.721747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers61c49.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.545644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ae…6e2bbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers42c47.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies54c46.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4423544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers30c44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1119332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…04d0backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers65c40.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.631573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies35c40.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4366831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies55c35.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.031,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ba…17c7backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies59c33.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies49c27.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0317943.6%78 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies40c25.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3864322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies65c25.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.848140.7%33 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7d8…2374backed Loyola Chicago Ramblers63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa660…f81abacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers65c18.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x128f…47afbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38459.5%50 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.