Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf73b06eb598e9d2d3261722988debdcd9262a0ec40c051fe704d8a96f40b25e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 47c | 28,068$13,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,923.17 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 12,262$6,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,490.48 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 9,975$5,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,324.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 2,765$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.9 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 53c | 976$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.28 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 54c | 584.19$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.31 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 48c | 560$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Under | 52c | 495$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.4 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 52c | 382.7$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 47c | 176.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…2157backed Under | 53c | 122.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 53c | 84.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 52c | 38.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 51c | 30.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 148.5this page
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. St. Bonaventure BonniesSt. Bonaventure Bonnies won
- Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 147.5Over won
- Spread: St. Bonaventure Bonnies (-10.5)St. Bonaventure Bonnies won
- Spread: St. Bonaventure Bonnies (-11.5)St. Bonaventure Bonnies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.