TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 147.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$731,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$731,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $731,694 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over51c624,426$318,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305,726.435945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Under49c214,967$105,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,333.7621754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under50c202,298$100,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100,161.1769142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under48c75,000$36,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,0009050%45 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under48c55,000$26,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,40013649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c32,500$15,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,95090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Over49c26,308$12,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,336.9878155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c24,615$12,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,092.6612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c16,079$8,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,116.095,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over52c13,000$6,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,255.2410441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under48c11,751$5,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,622.928946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under48c8,063$3,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,859.515143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Under49c8,053$3,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,945.876758.2%39 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Under51c5,247$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.468749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Under49c4,080$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.0916954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c3,231$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.14,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.1512358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5005466.7%36 W · 18 L+8.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4707337%27 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under50c2,338$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.898747.1%41 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Over53c1,891$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.126445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c1,875$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.471,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under49c1,600$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.999856.1%55 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over50c1,297$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.4432751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked Under50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.15945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Under49c768.63$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.6312054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa4a…0502backed Under50c619$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.29444.7%42 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under56c607.36$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over51c599.98$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9927955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Over53c547.25$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.212948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Under51c480.87$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.811159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under49c440$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.611946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under52c405.05$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.211,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab43…e73ebacked Under49c399.82$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over51c388.67$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.452,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under51c311.34$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.749543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14189850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Over53c281.58$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.344344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c263$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.822,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc330…1667backed Under54c260$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.41020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-57.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over53c255.15$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.929440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Over50c207.8$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7241354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Under48c194.74$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1218046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8025…c036backed Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Under50c134.69$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7112341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under50c129.22$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6110049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c126.87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.011,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Under50c117.71$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.857252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cf…058dbacked Under50c117.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.751520%3 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-58.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under50c117.23$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9497447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Under49c102.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over50c100.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.769945.5%45 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5062753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011147.7%53 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa660…f81abacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd05a…bf53backed Under68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4934649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Over53c91.21$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.877450%37 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Under49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.23033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Under71c79.83$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.553951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Under62c78.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92bf…0f9bbacked Under51c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.254146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Under50c64.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.017251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over44c62.52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.019860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under19c61.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.994942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Under51c61.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.177846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Under51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.65650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Under52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021252.4%111 W · 101 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under51c54.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.919653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Under50c54.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.015950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Under50c51.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.812245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under49c51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9917943.6%78 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2589146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2764322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Under49c48.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9915844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under52c47.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.842133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Under50c47.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.627234.7%25 W · 47 L-9.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Under50c47.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.66755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under53c47.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.989151.6%47 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3199…0a40backed Under49c45.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.59540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1182…3751backed Under50c43.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.025549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b79…f5b2backed Under50c42.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-62.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f30…a479backed Under49c39.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-65.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x46bb…6d65backed Under50c39.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.11850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under40c39.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7918646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865a…901bbacked Under50c39.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.612560%75 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x079a…8fbabacked Under49c38.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.911833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3d8…2a94backed Under50c35.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.713745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under53c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8831666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf71a…fa40backed Over53c31.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.681747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.