TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79df…277e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
198
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT6556.9%37 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Raptors (-14.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.93
Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kings vs. Magic: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kings vs. Magic: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.51
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$63.89
Spread: Kings (-2.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$38
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Bucks (-8.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Spread: Bucks (-7.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$37.68
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.85
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+99.4%+$69.61
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$31.11
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$10.98
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST6154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. Long Beach State Beach: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Boston College Eagles vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Rider Broncs vs. Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Spread: Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (-7.5)backed Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+78.6%+$58.93
Air Force Falcons vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-2.5)backed Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+64%+$32.02
Nicholls Colonels vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lions: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+106.9%+$64.15
Spread: Cal State Fullerton Titans (-3.5)backed Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Spread: New Mexico State Aggies (-6.5)backed New Mexico State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
North Dakota State Bison vs. Denver Pioneersbacked Denver Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Lindenwood Lions: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hampton Pirates: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+96.7%+$58.04
Texas State Bobcats vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+78.6%+$27.5
South Florida Bulls vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 167.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+121.5%+$78.97
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Georgia State Panthers: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$28.19
Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-7.5)backed Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-5.5)backed Milwaukee Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saintsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.82
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Northeastern Huskies: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+127.3%+$50.91
Oregon State Beavers vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.51
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$77.27
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$62.56
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Capitals vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Canucks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.97
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Panthers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+63.9%+$38.36
Predators vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+87.3%+$43.64
Islanders vs. Rangersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Jets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+58.7%+$12.92
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$45.26
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$16.03
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$18.66
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
First Blood in Game 3?backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.78
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+59.4%+$26.71
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$35
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+64%+$219.67
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$101
Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+161%+$193.16
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+244.9%+$244.86
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$19.44
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST8100%8 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$19.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.7%+$84.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.