NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17c517800a547323b64f06c78f6dc36df0f971a6951e613eaed16c8c25b7bb80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Knicks, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks | 57c | 27,997$15,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,959.59 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Warriors | 41c | 25,652$10,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,131.14 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Knicks | 59c | 25,424$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Warriors | 43c | 21,182$9,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,073.74 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Warriors | 44c | 10,229$4,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,681.24 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 76c | 9,892$7,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.48 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Knicks | 21c | 8,067$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.05 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Knicks | 57c | 6,558$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,738.06 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Knicks | 49c | 6,141$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.47 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 50c | 4,029$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.06 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Warriors | 49c | 3,482$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.77 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked Knicks | 58c | 3,442$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.37 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Warriors | 43c | 2,916$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.21 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 42c | 2,303$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.8 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…4638backed Knicks | 52c | 1,930$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 42c | 1,839$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.93 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 62c | 1,689$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.64 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Warriors | 44c | 1,361$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.36 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca32…47f0backed Knicks | 59c | 1,279$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.44 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Knicks | 40c | 1,195$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.33 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks | 57c | 1,154$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.65 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Knicks | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Warriors | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…cc6dbacked Knicks | 58c | 983.34$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Knicks | 54c | 932.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Warriors | 48c | 894.66$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.63 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Knicks | 58c | 862.16$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 161 | 62.7%101 W · 60 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Knicks | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Warriors | 41c | 769.49$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Warriors | 44c | 677.34$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.14 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 54c | 664.32$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Knicks | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Knicks | 58c | 580.45$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.66 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…8fe6backed Warriors | 53c | 533.96$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.96 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Knicks | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Warriors | 80c | 496$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Warriors | 43c | 485$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.1 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Warriors | 49c | 482.11$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 487 | 39.8%194 W · 293 L | -21.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Warriors | 49c | 475$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.25 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks | 53c | 460.08$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.64 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Knicks | 58c | 427.11$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.9 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Knicks | 48c | 417.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks | 57c | 412.26$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.97 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…dbaebacked Knicks | 53c | 411.81$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Knicks | 56c | 410.71$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Knicks | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Warriors | 53c | 361.01$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.1 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Knicks | 56c | 350.55$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.31 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Knicks | 58c | 345.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Warriors | 43c | 325.58$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.58 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 47c | 325.16$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Warriors | 44c | 320$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Warriors | 44c | 307.8$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.37 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Knicks | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Warriors | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…8acabacked Knicks | 48c | 291.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks | 43c | 275.11$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.53 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Knicks | 56c | 265.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.9 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Knicks | 19c | 255.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 44c | 254.5$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.52 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…7a37backed Knicks | 49c | 249.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…a8b1backed Knicks | 51c | 236.42$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.46 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Warriors | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Knicks | 54c | 227.9$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Warriors | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…05babacked Warriors | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +335.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Warriors | 58c | 222.7$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b5…ae57backed Knicks | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Knicks | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Knicks | 58c | 209.71$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.63 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Knicks | 58c | 208.38$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Knicks | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked Knicks | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 382 | 61.5%235 W · 147 L | +30.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Warriors | 73c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Knicks | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Knicks | 38c | 197.64$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Warriors | 43c | 195.01$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Knicks | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Knicks | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Warriors | 59c | 171.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…9e33backed Knicks | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Knicks | 16c | 164.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Warriors | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…296ebacked Knicks | 33c | 151.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Warriors | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Knicks | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Knicks | 57c | 148.39$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…d5cdbacked Warriors | 64c | 144.55$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 58c | 144$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…6047backed Knicks | 26c | 134.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9d…527bbacked Knicks | 58c | 132.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…c6d4backed Warriors | 46c | 132$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Knicks | 24c | 130$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Knicks | 55c | 107.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Knicks | 25c | 107$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Knicks | 58c | 100.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Knicks | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Warriors | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Warriors won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Quinten Post: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Quinten Post: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.