NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe55024dc5b6503f5d307ed905adfbefcd89d6ce522bfc7e6721e6ed5d1e7c642
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,767 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 44c | 33,184$14,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,543.76 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Under | 46c | 22,491$10,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,345.85 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 14,919$8,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,852.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 14,711$8,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,633.04 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 56c | 9,940$5,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,376.03 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 58c | 7,224$4,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.97 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 54c | 4,694$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.38 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 55c | 3,758$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.92 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 55c | 1,921$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.59 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Over | 61c | 1,637$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.15 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 52c | 1,467$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.2 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 1,307$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.56 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 54c | 1,294$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.34 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 56c | 1,098$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.23 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 53c | 945.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.43 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e03…b448backed Over | 56c | 888$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.72 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 56c | 856$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.64 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Over | 57c | 703.61$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.81 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 689.02$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.6 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 18c | 650$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 624.83$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.17 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 39c | 598.11$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.26 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 577.43$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.51 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…7a37backed Over | 54c | 565.25$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.06 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Over | 60c | 496.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.18 | 280 | 63.6%178 W · 102 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…8490backed Over | 58c | 464.31$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 54c | 451.12$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.82 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…2b32backed Under | 45c | 444.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 46c | 444$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 43c | 429.74$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.79 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Under | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 398.66$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.19 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 51c | 349.89$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.37 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 43c | 348.15$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.65 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 47c | 338.36$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.32 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 324.09$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.46 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 322.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.42 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 70c | 309.26$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.08 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Under | 51c | 295.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 55c | 292.73$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.73 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over | 37c | 268.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf906…b98ebacked Over | 58c | 259.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 50c | 247.65$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.08 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 49c | 245$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Under | 41c | 242.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 42c | 238.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 47c | 235.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Under | 27c | 218.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 51c | 195.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.02 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 44c | 192.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 36c | 187.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Over | 46c | 186.92$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…87eebacked Over | 34c | 186.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 45c | 185.8$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa691…eefabacked Under | 44c | 178$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…546dbacked Over | 49c | 177.55$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 66c | 175.23$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0478backed Over | 58c | 174.53$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.3 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Over | 37c | 171.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb610…0f48backed Under | 44c | 166$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Under | 46c | 156.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Over | 42c | 149.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 57c | 143.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 56c | 140.76$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.93 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…03c8backed Under | 44c | 139$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…114abacked Under | 45c | 138$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…2285backed Under | 44c | 137$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 56c | 135.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…3b45backed Under | 44c | 133$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fa…7eedbacked Under | 44c | 128$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…6a2dbacked Under | 44c | 128$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…850fbacked Over | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 71c | 119.88$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 44c | 111.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 56c | 110.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 58c | 107.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…6accbacked Over | 38c | 105.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 56c | 105.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Over | 56c | 103.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Over | 58c | 101.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…08c7backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 99.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…274bbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Warriors won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Quinten Post: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Quinten Post: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.