TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Warriorsof Knicks, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,883,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,940,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,883,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Knicks50c758,112$375,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375,932.6126253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Warriors50c477,065$238,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238,757.7272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Warriors51c381,522$194,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186,945.9987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks49c209,073$102,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,470.691,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Warriors51c150,000$76,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,00054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x666f…9860backed Knicks0c122,595$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.516055%33 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Knicks49c98,538$48,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,283.511,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985e…6894backed Knicks0c97,200$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.210761.7%66 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors51c53,301$27,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,117.351,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Warriors51c49,021$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,020.7936549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors50c25,000$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,50087144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks49c24,925$12,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,212.134,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Knicks50c24,134$12,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,06734851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors50c21,000$10,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,4901,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Knicks49c20,118$9,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,859.4359347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors51c20,000$10,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,90058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Warriors50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00014052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.851,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks50c19,000$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors51c17,275$8,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,464.751,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors51c14,235$7,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,982.361,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Knicks50c14,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00025945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Warriors51c13,293$6,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,513.5731643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Warriors51c8,919$4,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,333.3748546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Knicks51c8,759$4,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,466.9471654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Warriors51c8,745$4,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,285.0537747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors51c7,729$3,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,787.874,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks49c6,937$3,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,379.962,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Knicks49c6,558$3,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,213.4219645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks23c6,247$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.498,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Knicks50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00013563%85 W · 50 L+15.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Warriors50c6,000$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.9657950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Warriors50c5,914$2,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.047447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Warriors51c5,784$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.3118349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Knicks46c5,000$2,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.666147.5%29 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Warriors51c4,866$2,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.9619445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks49c4,229$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.32,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Knicks50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Knicks49c4,000$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Warriors51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.578154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Warriors51c3,884$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.3170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks49c3,847$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.574,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f9…cc6dbacked Knicks14c3,601$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Warriors51c3,571$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.8647542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Knicks49c3,333$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.1114753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Knicks51c3,240$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.48153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Knicks9c2,554$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.8583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks5c2,548$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.762,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Knicks51c2,491$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.611,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Warriors51c2,472$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.2630446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks33c2,327$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7623,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Knicks48c2,263$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.095364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Warriors48c2,248$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.771,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks50c2,074$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.469,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Knicks54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08014448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Knicks50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-35.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b4d…ae93backed Knicks50c2,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.982638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Knicks49c1,805$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.93,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Warriors47c1,770$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.0128643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Warriors52c1,649$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.6950239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Warriors51c1,608$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.8467252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Knicks52c1,538$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Knicks51c1,500$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76991050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Knicks50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Knicks51c1,498$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76211855.1%65 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Knicks51c1,492$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75918055%99 W · 81 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Knicks51c1,471$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75059140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Warriors50c1,460$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73049852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30d1…cd88backed Knicks52c1,350$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7024151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Warriors75c1,253$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.672,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Warriors69c1,252$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.888361.4%51 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Warriors80c1,161$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.1530348.2%146 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Knicks50c1,159$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.9224946.6%116 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Knicks31c1,121$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.641,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Knicks50c1,111$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.2826756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Knicks31c1,098$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.15850%29 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Knicks36c1,081$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.64358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Knicks50c1,070$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.257650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Knicks52c1,067$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55526745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks50c1,050$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5256,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Warriors51c1,041$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.052,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Knicks27c1,037$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.7226034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Knicks49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49062948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x031a…50b7backed Knicks43c1,000$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4349357%53 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Warriors51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49033146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Knicks49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49014152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Knicks50c998$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49942845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Warriors58c989.97$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.7910559%62 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Warriors77c989.46$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.6631354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Knicks51c831.42$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.919455.3%52 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Knicks50c827.21$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.61,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Knicks50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…5ec0backed Warriors51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3926253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9c…dbaebacked Knicks51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Knicks50c783.05$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39415453.2%82 W · 72 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Knicks50c770.33$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38813751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Knicks50c759.85$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38315253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks50c759.03$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.73,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Knicks50c758.11$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.6443544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Knicks34c749.81$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.082,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.