TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,006,349

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,006,349 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over48c398,399$191,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,856.3287451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad6e…fc66backed Over0c179,560$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.56825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-61.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under51c142,117$72,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,122.1860351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under52c99,966$51,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,983.682,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over51c54,953$27,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,877.4743148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under49c38,074$18,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,243.6843542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under52c29,383$15,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,235.654,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under49c26,330$12,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,427.7334851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Under53c25,942$13,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,192.7430845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c22,000$11,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,1601,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c21,545$10,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,422.961,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Under52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6002343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under51c16,780$8,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,153.152,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under51c15,000$7,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3508839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under49c9,401$4,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,794.465030%15 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under53c9,000$4,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,23066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,84043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under52c7,851$4,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,768.4817550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under52c7,692$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.291,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under52c7,248$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,447.6637747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Under53c7,100$3,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,33727455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over49c6,879$3,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,337.311,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33f…eed7backed Over47c5,360$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.23943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Over48c5,300$2,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,54422457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over42c4,723$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.973,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over38c4,219$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.9183039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under60c4,186$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.9920963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Under53c3,900$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8339733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under52c3,333$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.8414753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under75c3,076$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.471,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Under52c2,900$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,39217850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under52c2,838$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.9741947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c2,648$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.236,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Under46c2,000$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.1314448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under52c2,000$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9708747.1%41 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7826637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0818749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under48c1,667$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.8464651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under59c1,603$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.8648751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over18c1,571$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.2226034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9725155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over49c1,462$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.469352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Under52c1,388$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.6530453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under52c1,374$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.2917953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under55c1,364$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.6422447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Over48c1,331$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6398647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under52c1,299$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.981,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c1,123$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.782,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under54c1,107$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.252,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c1,102$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.324,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x650c…0a9fbacked Under74c1,081$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Under52c1,038$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.2412650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over48c1,012$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.7654443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c1,008$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.033,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Under48c900$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47014059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under52c899.21$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.3789853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c858.18$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.342,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c854.17$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.473,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under74c792.82$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.9865872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over57c760.96$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.381,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Under52c693.59$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.5622552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Under59c673.85$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.8528554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over47c637.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.848450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Over48c619$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.125947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under52c615.81$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.5757650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2427746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under53c610.2$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.7938946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Over51c598.04$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30515551.6%80 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over48c572.92$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27520247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.562568%17 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over48c517.42$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.3616347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Under52c503.65$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.1831354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25054549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over42c490.32$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.81,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c454.71$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.134,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Over48c406.25$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1958658.1%50 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under52c402.59$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.2426756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under55c400.81$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.471,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Under74c385.87$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8711873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Under53c367.92$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.9214466%95 W · 49 L+17.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under52c359.18$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.252,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over45c357.37$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.813,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Under31c327.6$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.886741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15039552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x092e…c685backed Over48c313.25$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.36850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over32c310.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4936154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under63c309.82$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3187744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under52c307.91$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9259250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over50c307.1$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.582,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over45c304.13$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.097857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x190f…01f3backed Under53c303$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.419150.5%46 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under53c302.24$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0558450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14410348.5%50 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14445646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c293.44$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.15,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over31c292.93$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3152053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Over33c291.65$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4465542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over48c278.86$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7151438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.