NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa99e4e60d25ebd5414eae655fa0ad5cefceb1f7d1406bb7c2b965e669e0bc6b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,006,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,006,349 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 48c | 398,399$191,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191,856.32 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6e…fc66backed Over | 0c | 179,560$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 51c | 142,117$72,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,122.18 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 52c | 99,966$51,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,983.68 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 51c | 54,953$27,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,877.47 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 49c | 38,074$18,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,243.68 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 29,383$15,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,235.65 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 49c | 26,330$12,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,427.73 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Under | 53c | 25,942$13,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,192.74 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 22,000$11,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,160 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 21,545$10,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,422.96 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Under | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 51c | 16,780$8,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,153.15 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 49c | 9,401$4,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,794.46 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 52c | 7,851$4,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,768.48 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.29 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 52c | 7,248$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.66 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Under | 53c | 7,100$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 49c | 6,879$3,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,337.31 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…eed7backed Over | 47c | 5,360$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.2 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Over | 48c | 5,300$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 4,723$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.97 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 38c | 4,219$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.91 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 60c | 4,186$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.99 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Under | 53c | 3,900$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.84 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 75c | 3,076$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.47 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Under | 52c | 2,900$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 52c | 2,838$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.97 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 51c | 2,648$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.23 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Under | 46c | 2,000$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.13 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.84 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 59c | 1,603$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.86 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 18c | 1,571$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.22 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.97 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Over | 49c | 1,462$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.46 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Under | 52c | 1,388$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.65 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 52c | 1,374$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.29 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Over | 48c | 1,331$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 52c | 1,299$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.98 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 1,123$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.78 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 1,107$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.25 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 1,102$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x650c…0a9fbacked Under | 74c | 1,081$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Under | 52c | 1,038$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.24 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Over | 48c | 1,012$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.76 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 1,008$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.03 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Under | 48c | 900$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 52c | 899.21$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.37 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 858.18$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.34 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 854.17$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.47 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 74c | 792.82$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.98 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 57c | 760.96$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.38 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Under | 52c | 693.59$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.56 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Under | 59c | 673.85$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.85 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 47c | 637.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Over | 48c | 619$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.12 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 52c | 615.81$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.57 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 53c | 610.2$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.79 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Over | 51c | 598.04$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Over | 48c | 572.92$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 48c | 517.42$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.36 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Under | 52c | 503.65$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.18 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 42c | 490.32$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.8 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 454.71$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.13 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…e0f5backed Over | 48c | 406.25$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 52c | 402.59$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.24 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 55c | 400.81$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.47 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…fd2bbacked Under | 74c | 385.87$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.87 | 118 | 73.7%87 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Under | 53c | 367.92$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.92 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 52c | 359.18$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.25 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 45c | 357.37$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.81 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Under | 31c | 327.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.88 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092e…c685backed Over | 48c | 313.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 32c | 310.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 63c | 309.82$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.31 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 52c | 307.91$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.92 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 307.1$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.58 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 45c | 304.13$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Under | 53c | 303$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.41 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 53c | 302.24$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.05 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 293.44$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.1 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 31c | 292.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.31 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 33c | 291.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 48c | 278.86$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.71 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Warriors won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Quinten Post: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Quinten Post: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.