NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4eea371cd2a7677f60501f4f39d977e77ba28ceeea94fa4541db97940a87ab9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Warriors, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,804,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,804,816 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 12c | 549,999$66,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,999.86 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Warriors | 12c | 416,665$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,999.85 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Warriors | 13c | 192,308$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Warriors | 13c | 166,106$21,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,189.24 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Knicks | 71c | 127,701$90,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,125.33 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Warriors | 41c | 120,459$49,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,736.91 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 27c | 118,463$31,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,832.12 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Warriors | 18c | 89,835$16,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,385.49 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Warriors | 12c | 89,666$10,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,759.98 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Warriors | 13c | 80,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Knicks | 73c | 72,427$52,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,775.82 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Knicks | 65c | 62,037$40,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,783.18 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Warriors | 18c | 54,093$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Knicks | 74c | 49,747$36,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,165.91 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 22c | 41,712$9,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,024.47 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Warriors | 21c | 36,815$7,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,642.8 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Warriors | 36c | 36,457$13,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,282.35 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Knicks | 68c | 35,207$23,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,210.37 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Knicks | 59c | 34,686$20,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,165.69 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Warriors | 36c | 33,672$12,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,121.92 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…b386backed Warriors | 15c | 32,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 13c | 30,998$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,874.79 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Warriors | 13c | 30,831$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Warriors | 13c | 28,244$3,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,564.75 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…9accbacked Warriors | 13c | 26,908$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Warriors | 25c | 26,054$6,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,390.99 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Knicks | 77c | 25,672$19,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,946.31 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Knicks | 52c | 25,000$12,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,004 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks | 71c | 24,949$17,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.47 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Warriors | 17c | 23,122$3,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,963.66 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 17c | 22,330$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898.53 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…4bd8backed Warriors | 34c | 21,712$7,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,439.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 28c | 20,979$5,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,901.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Knicks | 48c | 20,321$9,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,477.2 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Warriors | 13c | 19,231$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Warriors | 52c | 18,500$9,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,619.96 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Warriors | 17c | 17,692$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.48 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Warriors | 12c | 16,474$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.14 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1deb…472fbacked Warriors | 40c | 16,421$6,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,580.67 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 13c | 15,200$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.49 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Warriors | 17c | 15,121$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.44 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d7…1252backed Warriors | 54c | 15,105$8,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,098.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Knicks | 74c | 14,427$10,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,730.22 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 26c | 13,977$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,567.23 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Warriors | 30c | 13,881$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,226.14 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Warriors | 28c | 13,796$3,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.23 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Warriors | 32c | 13,202$4,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,213.71 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…cf2abacked Warriors | 12c | 12,900$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Warriors | 4c | 12,450$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb27…b605backed Warriors | 20c | 12,053$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.7 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Warriors | 24c | 12,018$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.49 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Warriors | 12c | 12,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Warriors | 12c | 11,632$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.84 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Warriors | 35c | 10,743$3,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740.69 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Warriors | 36c | 10,682$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.39 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Knicks | 79c | 10,502$8,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.85 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Warriors | 30c | 10,474$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,164.12 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Warriors | 13c | 10,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Warriors | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Warriors | 31c | 9,833$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,066.4 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Warriors | 12c | 9,400$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f7…ab52backed Knicks | 79c | 9,082$7,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Warriors | 11c | 9,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Knicks | 65c | 8,934$5,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.74 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Warriors | 16c | 8,252$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.2 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Knicks | 58c | 8,222$4,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.08 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Knicks | 74c | 8,056$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Warriors | 13c | 8,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Warriors | 22c | 8,000$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.99 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 11c | 7,925$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.21 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Warriors | 16c | 7,823$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Warriors | 25c | 7,819$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.36 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Knicks | 48c | 7,791$3,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,051.29 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Warriors | 13c | 7,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Warriors | 13c | 7,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Warriors | 12c | 7,400$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Knicks | 70c | 7,219$5,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.57 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Warriors | 57c | 7,066$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ab…506dbacked Warriors | 12c | 6,800$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.99 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Warriors | 13c | 6,769$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Knicks | 69c | 6,703$4,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.93 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Warriors | 13c | 6,666$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.58 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Warriors | 51c | 6,482$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…ec52backed Knicks | 63c | 6,177$3,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.13 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 16c | 6,007$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.23 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed Knicks | 79c | 5,857$4,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.88 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Knicks | 73c | 5,800$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.99 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Warriors | 17c | 5,757$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Warriors | 27c | 5,681$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.18 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Knicks | 54c | 5,667$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,606.77 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Knicks | 74c | 5,583$4,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.79 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Knicks | 76c | 5,449$4,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.78 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…c667backed Warriors | 11c | 5,432$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.49 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a1…7ae9backed Knicks | 65c | 5,397$3,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed Warriors | 31c | 5,380$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 11c | 5,308$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.63 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Warriors | 23c | 5,259$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.11 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4d…ae93backed Warriors | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0577…caa7backed Warriors | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…cd88backed Knicks | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Knicksthis page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Warriors won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Quinten Post: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Quinten Post: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.