NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb6eecf11221f809b3e49cfbc9ae89ff5b57ad5e489cdd22aca8a4c5cc7d0ddf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 75,060$37,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,968.62 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 27,230$13,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,746.2 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Under | 51c | 24,395$12,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,953.53 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 51c | 15,675$7,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,680.74 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 8,389$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,185.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Over | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 7,166$3,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,644.48 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 48c | 5,927$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.04 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 47c | 5,658$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.91 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Under | 51c | 5,342$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.61 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 51c | 5,209$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.48 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 5,162$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.49 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 50c | 4,323$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.5 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 49c | 3,767$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 51c | 3,118$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.65 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 50c | 2,667$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.3 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 2,573$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.59 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 49c | 2,560$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.4 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 2,550$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 52c | 2,239$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.42 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 55c | 1,833$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.65 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 1,593$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 49c | 1,050$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 837.5$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.39 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…e90ebacked Over | 53c | 542.64$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 497.1$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.64 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 491.78$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.81 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 50c | 483.72$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.86 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Over | 50c | 430$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 409.44$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.74 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 43c | 400.55$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.12 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 352.88$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.62 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 53c | 331.2$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.91 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 294.33$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.45 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 271.88$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.39 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Under | 51c | 259.69$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.25 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…87eebacked Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Under | 48c | 247.3$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.6 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 53c | 211.32$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 50c | 201.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 62c | 193.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 38c | 180.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…c8febacked Under | 48c | 178$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…d74dbacked Under | 49c | 166$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 165.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…5410backed Under | 50c | 154$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…9b68backed Under | 48c | 153$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed Under | 47c | 151.84$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.48 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 50c | 140.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…a251backed Under | 47c | 139.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.73 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…089bbacked Under | 47c | 137.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab42…3b6abacked Under | 49c | 137$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 50c | 134.35$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…2de8backed Under | 47c | 113.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2044backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Over | 51c | 98.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Under | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…274bbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Over | 52c | 94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 50c | 93.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 92.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…b810backed Under | 47c | 91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…e738backed Over | 54c | 91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 87.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Under | 51c | 78.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 77.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15dc…831fbacked Under | 48c | 75.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 49c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…08f8backed Over | 52c | 67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dd…9903backed Over | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Under | 51c | 63.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 52c | 61.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Over | 53c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 201 | 40.3%81 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 51c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9265backed Under | 51c | 58.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 57.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…e9f2backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…f614backed Over | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee0…9d32backed Over | 53c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 52.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68f…58edbacked Over | 54c | 52.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x58c2…cf66backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…67cdbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 50c | 49.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b6…1a9fbacked Over | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 46.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…52f0backed Over | 53c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Under | 40c | 43.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Warriors won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Warriors won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Gui Santos: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Quinten Post: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Quinten Post: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.