TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe66e…abdd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT4650%23 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreevabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,183.11
Oeiras 3: Suzan Lamens vs Robin Montgomerybacked Robin Montgomery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,952Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+93.7%+$1,828.48
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$819Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$367.21
Credit One Charleston Open: Iva Jovic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,933Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+121.7%+$2,351.85
Credit One Charleston Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,031.68
Credit One Charleston Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Dalma Galfibacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+213.5%+$976.95
Credit One Charleston Open: Viktoriya Tomova vs Jennifer Bradybacked Viktoriya Tomova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,878Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$2,317.87
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,999.88
Miami Open: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverevbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.33
Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,374Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+195.1%+$2,681.04
Miami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,430.81
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$27.7
Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,931Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+116.4%+$3,412.35
Delray Beach Open: Alex Michelsen vs Sebastian Kordabacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,964.92
Argentina Open: Joao Fonseca vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$178.06
Dallas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$955Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$954.91
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Sabalenka vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,958Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,957.92
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,038.84
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+426.3%+$809.99
Hellenic Championship: Eliot Spizzirri vs Laslo Djerebacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,643Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$846.6
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$244.44
Jiangxi Open: Anna Blinkova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$505
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$324
Chennai Open: Mia Pohankova vs Diane Parrybacked Pohankova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$421.43
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT4035%14 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,954Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$6,954.4
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$848.93
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,997.78
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$729.57
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,956Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,956.23
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.39
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,049.03
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.73
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,333.43
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,724Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,617.61
Timberwolves vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,331Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$1,390.94
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$762Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$761.94
Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,998.97
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,998.03
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$997Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.1%+$957.95
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$240
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.8%+$350
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$243
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100.66
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,907Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,906.89
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,758Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$3,758.2
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$983.6
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$949.64
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-43.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+86.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+212.5%+$212.5
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$440
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+179.2%+$89.85
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,268Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,268.46
Spread: Northern Illinois (-5.5)backed Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$249.66
Louisville vs. Virginia Techbacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$2,210
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$46.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$3,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,468.41
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,090.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.