College Football · resolved market
Louisville vs. Virginia Tech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a01b32c085bcc830737c0e462cf45d9efd08f1e7cd0faf9c6105411855dfb14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisvilleof Louisville, Virginia Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,020,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,055,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,020,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Louisville | 79c | 714,610$561,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,188 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Virginia Tech | 22c | 255,000$56,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,100 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Virginia Tech | 21c | 176,437$37,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,051.71 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Virginia Tech | 40c | 66,854$26,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,586.63 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Virginia Tech | 21c | 36,000$7,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,560 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Virginia Tech | 21c | 34,315$7,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,206.15 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Virginia Tech | 21c | 27,619$5,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.37 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virginia Tech | 21c | 27,409$5,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,748.77 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Virginia Tech | 21c | 26,528$5,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,491.48 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Louisville | 78c | 25,590$19,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,629.8 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Louisville | 67c | 25,397$17,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,283.93 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Virginia Tech | 21c | 22,535$4,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,732.31 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Virginia Tech | 22c | 22,500$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Virginia Tech | 21c | 20,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Virginia Tech | 23c | 19,993$4,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,598.39 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Virginia Tech | 22c | 16,000$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.99 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Virginia Tech | 21c | 15,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Louisville | 79c | 13,797$10,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Virginia Tech | 22c | 13,636$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Virginia Tech | 21c | 12,989$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.62 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Louisville | 80c | 12,543$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.15 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Louisville | 77c | 7,007$5,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.53 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Virginia Tech | 22c | 7,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Louisville | 79c | 6,261$4,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Louisville | 58c | 6,150$3,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.83 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Virginia Tech | 21c | 6,100$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +193.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Virginia Tech | 22c | 5,532$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.04 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Louisville | 57c | 5,162$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.07 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…3ac5backed Virginia Tech | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Virginia Tech | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Louisville | 70c | 4,396$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.08 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Virginia Tech | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Virginia Tech | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Virginia Tech | 21c | 3,600$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.99 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Louisville | 49c | 3,049$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.83 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2697…cacabacked Louisville | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Virginia Tech | 24c | 2,510$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.03 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Virginia Tech | 21c | 2,396$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.85 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Virginia Tech | 46c | 2,273$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.62 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Virginia Tech | 23c | 2,250$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.5 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…f9bdbacked Virginia Tech | 24c | 2,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…abddbacked Virginia Tech | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6a…2d4abacked Virginia Tech | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…7424backed Louisville | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Virginia Tech | 53c | 1,911$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.65 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Virginia Tech | 52c | 1,907$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.59 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Tech | 21c | 1,852$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.09 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Virginia Tech | 32c | 1,562$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.78 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Virginia Tech | 22c | 1,400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…786dbacked Louisville | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Louisville | 66c | 1,214$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.55 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Louisville | 54c | 1,208$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.8 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Virginia Tech | 22c | 1,199$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.84 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…3d5cbacked Louisville | 77c | 1,100$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Virginia Tech | 18c | 1,071$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.78 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…d591backed Louisville | 80c | 1,050$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Virginia Tech | 21c | 1,009$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.94 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Virginia Tech | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…c552backed Virginia Tech | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428e…f175backed Louisville | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…88f2backed Virginia Tech | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…8d6cbacked Louisville | 78c | 998.91$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Virginia Tech | 22c | 905$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…c2c4backed Virginia Tech | 45c | 899.59$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…1aabbacked Virginia Tech | 20c | 806.35$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…da55backed Louisville | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd798…b210backed Louisville | 78c | 800$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb9…dfa7backed Virginia Tech | 22c | 800$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd642…c499backed Louisville | 78c | 800$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Virginia Tech | 22c | 751$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.22 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e9…ac60backed Louisville | 58c | 700$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Louisville | 69c | 629.23$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.93 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Virginia Tech | 22c | 582.11$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.27 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c0…e1e0backed Virginia Tech | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Louisville | 47c | 545.02$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa13…f778backed Louisville | 78c | 540$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Virginia Tech | 21c | 531.49$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.61 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Louisville | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Louisville | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Virginia Tech | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Virginia Tech | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08a…f88fbacked Virginia Tech | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c7…e73fbacked Virginia Tech | 22c | 428$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Virginia Tech | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6003…e0f8backed Louisville | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Virginia Tech | 23c | 359.64$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed3…bffcbacked Virginia Tech | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Louisville | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Virginia Tech | 22c | 299.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Louisville | 59c | 299.28$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Louisville | 78c | 283$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.26 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Louisville | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Virginia Tech | 21c | 251.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Virginia Tech | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Louisville | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Virginia Tech | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18e…7a5fbacked Louisville | 78c | 230$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Louisville | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda37…6a4abacked Louisville | 79c | 202$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…a074backed Louisville | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisville vs. Virginia Techthis page
- Louisville vs. Virginia Tech: 1H MoneylineVirginia Tech won
- Louisville vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 53.5Under won
- O/U 54.5Under won
- Spread: Louisville (-10.5)Louisville won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.