TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34c7…e73f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Weather at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+41.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$1,000.99
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$45.37
Nets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$948Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$237.12
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$214.54
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$539
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
76ers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.97
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$230.4
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$58.5
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+334.8%+$385
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$828Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$372
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+170.3%+$932.4
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+44.9%+$104.47
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50.16
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+67%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$118.8
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+244.8%+$418.9
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$223.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,264.76
NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$189.8
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+104.1%+$114.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+270.4%+$134.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$286.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$9.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 18 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+33.3%+$61.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisville vs. Virginia Techbacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.