NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x585fe915a439086bbbaa89f90345ff58f78670502aa58b719c8356604652f2e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Canadiens, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $638,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $638,908 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 473 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf195…8057backed Red Wings | 49c | 196,042$96,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,981.43 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Canadiens | 51c | 125,555$64,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,477.52 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Red Wings | 48c | 117,345$56,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,019.38 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Canadiens | 52c | 97,226$50,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,347.46 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Canadiens | 51c | 70,000$35,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,700 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens | 51c | 55,000$28,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,049.75 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Red Wings | 49c | 42,170$20,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,702.45 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Canadiens | 51c | 30,900$15,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,759 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Red Wings | 48c | 22,338$10,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,686.11 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Canadiens | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Wings | 49c | 14,000$6,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,190 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Red Wings | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings | 48c | 10,935$5,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,686.42 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Canadiens | 52c | 10,436$5,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,426.72 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Canadiens | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 49c | 8,612$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,384.41 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Red Wings | 48c | 7,897$3,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,106.57 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Canadiens | 51c | 7,226$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690.28 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Red Wings | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.98 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Red Wings | 49c | 6,102$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.04 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Red Wings | 49c | 6,060$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.6 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Red Wings | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.98 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Canadiens | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.95 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 51c | 5,853$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.52 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Canadiens | 52c | 5,800$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Red Wings | 48c | 5,783$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.22 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46a…683bbacked Canadiens | 52c | 5,775$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Red Wings | 48c | 5,600$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Red Wings | 49c | 5,555$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.05 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Red Wings | 49c | 5,554$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832.54 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Canadiens | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Canadiens | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.97 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens | 59c | 4,566$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.99 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…8633backed Canadiens | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Red Wings | 48c | 4,500$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings | 49c | 4,252$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.76 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Canadiens | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Red Wings | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Red Wings | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.96 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Canadiens | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Red Wings | 49c | 3,134$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.3 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Red Wings | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Red Wings | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Red Wings | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Red Wings | 48c | 2,979$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.91 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Canadiens | 54c | 2,968$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.48 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Red Wings | 49c | 2,800$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Red Wings | 49c | 2,673$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.47 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Canadiens | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Wings | 49c | 2,471$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.5 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Red Wings | 45c | 2,269$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.25 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings | 50c | 2,250$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.18 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Canadiens | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.44 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Red Wings | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.44 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Red Wings | 49c | 2,084$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.84 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Canadiens | 50c | 2,020$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Red Wings | 50c | 2,009$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Red Wings | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.9 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Canadiens | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Canadiens | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Red Wings | 49c | 1,666$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.56 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Red Wings | 48c | 1,650$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.48 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Red Wings | 46c | 1,616$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.74 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings | 48c | 1,581$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.72 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Wings | 46c | 1,476$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.47 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Red Wings | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7b…0147backed Red Wings | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Red Wings | 49c | 1,196$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.2 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…9c62backed Red Wings | 49c | 1,118$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.37 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…241bbacked Red Wings | 48c | 1,080$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings | 48c | 1,025$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Canadiens | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.19 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Canadiens | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Canadiens | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…d217backed Canadiens | 52c | 960$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Canadiens | 55c | 900$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.87 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Wings | 46c | 889.82$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.95 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Red Wings | 49c | 799$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.49 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…1721backed Red Wings | 49c | 793$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Canadiens | 52c | 790$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.8 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…4185backed Canadiens | 52c | 770$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f8…dc5dbacked Canadiens | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…975cbacked Red Wings | 49c | 768$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e95…5b00backed Red Wings | 49c | 760$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc868…9f66backed Canadiens | 52c | 760$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41b…dd9dbacked Canadiens | 52c | 758$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…4e85backed Red Wings | 49c | 758$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…5366backed Canadiens | 52c | 756$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…f5a6backed Red Wings | 49c | 752$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…9ffebacked Canadiens | 52c | 752$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Canadiens | 53c | 750$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.39 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c19…064fbacked Red Wings | 48c | 740$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Red Wings | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…13dabacked Canadiens | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…aad5backed Canadiens | 53c | 680$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…a6dabacked Canadiens | 52c | 650$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…3f04backed Red Wings | 49c | 650$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Canadiens | 51c | 645.9$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.41 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…4857backed Canadiens | 50c | 628.45$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.09 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Canadiens vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canadiens vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Red Wings won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.