TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88ae…9c62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$990.73
Kings vs. Magic: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,521Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$1,427.58
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.38
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$499
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Thunder vs. Nets: 1H Moneylinebacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
1H Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$80.03
Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 202.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$358
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+113%+$536.31
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+94.2%+$400.93
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$20.36
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$509
Canucks vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$408
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)backed Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,082.65
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+194.3%+$1,837.78
Stars vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Stars vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Devils vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,179
Canadiens vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$548Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$570.37
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$719.51
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Kings vs. Rangersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$59.57
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$433.02
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+132.7%+$219.03
Bruins vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$697
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$920
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$673
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+164.8%+$570.26
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+155.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+244.8%+$244.83
Will Udinese Calcio vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+277%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+277%+$709.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+246.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+246.3%+$290.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$244.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3)backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$812Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+66.7%+$541.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$654
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$68.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open Sud de France: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Christopher O'Connellbacked O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$837Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$837
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.