TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$377,520

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,520 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Yes28c208,018$58,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,244.921735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked No72c130,000$93,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,4001250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No72c75,002$54,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,000.562560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c27,279$7,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,6573,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes29c25,015$7,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,254.355135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No79c21,875$17,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,603.6984850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No71c13,803$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,002.875947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c9,805$6,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,886.591950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes18c8,425$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…13cdbacked No72c8,333$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.231090%9 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick73cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No71c8,318$5,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,412.2213149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed No72c6,955$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.11650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c6,614$4,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.381,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No71c5,177$3,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.931478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No72c4,167$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.672572%18 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No71c3,565$2,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.842015%3 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick21cpaid+44.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Yes30c2,890$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No72c2,778$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.841190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Yes30c2,548$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes4c2,143$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2776941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked Yes30c2,086$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes9c1,797$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1646119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No70c1,788$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.47354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes28c1,763$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.642626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes18c1,406$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.811233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No70c1,275$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.475356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes14c1,250$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.511226.8%30 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No71c1,010$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.022560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Yes30c925.5$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.65450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Yes30c794.93$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No73c753.42$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.42850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes30c700$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes10c656.61$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No70c528.96$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.6911153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes28c527.9$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0810254.9%56 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes11c522.26$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.893522.9%8 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes10c507.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-53.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x388b…25ddbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed Yes30c499.43$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Yes30c486.73$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.02977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+35.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Yes15c474.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…3d44backed No73c470$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No70c469.95$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9810554.3%57 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes28c469.29$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-72.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c50…7f4bbacked Yes30c466.3$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes29c462.07$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-73.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48aa…2eeebacked Yes30c455.63$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c453.8$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4825157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03e6…24e6backed Yes30c447.23$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No70c444$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.28947.2%42 W · 47 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x53c8…f543backed Yes30c434.57$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe523…c6afbacked Yes30c405.9$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes6c369.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.93627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62e1…7b41backed Yes32c365.78$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.07728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-48.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes22c359.43$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8821835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes26c355.74$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.117956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed No70c341.04$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.723458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x521d…713bbacked No73c339$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b05…7b7dbacked Yes30c326$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1315…cb3fbacked Yes30c325.77$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.73450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No74c322.97$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.972356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x210c…d6c1backed Yes31c320$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.21127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf33…4f09backed Yes30c306.87$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.06771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Yes30c299.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.791752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa15…270ebacked Yes30c272.03$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.61450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Yes29c263.03$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d52…f748backed Yes28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No75c230$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.415949.1%78 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x448c…c0febacked No73c230$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes27c229.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0955545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5dd…4e1fbacked No73c228$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5218…48d9backed Yes30c227.6$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x678e…1f95backed No68c225$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed No72c220.97$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9984…cfdcbacked No73c219$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes16c218.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358130.9%25 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88bc…fc0dbacked Yes30c205.2$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.56771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeea9…329dbacked No73c203$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf18…179abacked Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes28c199.4$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.839048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c194.78$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1466150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a0…e30abacked No73c193$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes6c189.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.321030%3 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick13cpaid+119.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc56…1373backed No73c177$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42bf…3fc1backed Yes30c175.33$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4211…e724backed No73c175$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e8…8745backed Yes28c171.43$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7981…dd95backed Yes30c169.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf5…9435backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9697…8024backed Yes30c166.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe92b…8186backed No73c165$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes28c161.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.67848.7%38 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2861…656dbacked No73c157$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ae…9c62backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No70c156$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.386347.6%30 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2d9…58f5backed Yes27c154.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.