TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b59…13cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick74cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,600
Will Leeds United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,079Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$322.42
Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$880
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,996Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$946.18
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,791Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,139.82
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,840Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,159.99
Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,200
Will Fulham FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,100.58
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,442.36
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$631.68
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,988Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$2,455.38
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,291Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,291.18
Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,489Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$1,724.82
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick73cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,592Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$449.06
AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.16
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$2,011.57
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.9
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$2,333.23
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,000
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,283Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$2,323.89
Will Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$2,999.98
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Panathinaikós AO end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$3,194.01
Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,406Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+38.9%+$2,102.39
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick78cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick77cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitória SC vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$27.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,580Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$859.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.