Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6783856685d656b2cd4cf6f8eb07d426f1b9c17cfb482c91c80a49665321321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 27c | 20,000$5,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,353.55 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 7,123$5,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.31 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…13cdbacked No | 75c | 3,440$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 3,116$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.17 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…2723backed Yes | 26c | 1,927$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 8c | 1,850$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 74c | 1,486$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.36 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 73c | 1,264$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.41 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 73c | 1,262$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.62 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 73c | 1,027$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.4 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 3c | 865.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 793.2$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.6 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 25c | 617$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.25 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 18c | 604.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 543.26$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 79c | 528.37$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 79c | 528.37$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 79c | 528.37$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 518.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 73c | 505.79$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 73c | 479$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.33 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 474.84$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.41 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 427.4$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…3cf9backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 26c | 346.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 333.27$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 280.8$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 25c | 277.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 266.98$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 79c | 261.89$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 73c | 247.86$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 241.67$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Yes | 25c | 234.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked No | 73c | 210$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed No | 73c | 210$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 23c | 201.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…c9a8backed No | 76c | 200.58$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 74c | 189.84$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed No | 73c | 185$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 73c | 180$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 75c | 168$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…f519backed Yes | 26c | 166.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 140.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 25c | 119$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked No | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 25c | 92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 75c | 92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 77c | 88.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x605f…425abacked Yes | 26c | 80.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed No | 75c | 66.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 63.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 23c | 57.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Yes | 24c | 57.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed No | 74c | 47.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af1…5a2dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 36.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7b…12d8backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 74c | 27.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 76c | 26.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7190…00e7backed No | 76c | 25.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 80c | 14.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.