TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a7b…12d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.78
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.14
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.62
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.57
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.51
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.26
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.42
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.28
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.42
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$14.42
Spread: Bucks (-10.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.43
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.1
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.33
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.13
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.39
Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.56
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.6
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$16.5
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$19.72
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$39
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.76
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.75
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$3.35
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.8
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.9
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
Predators vs. Sharksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.55
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.85
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.14
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.55
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.71
All 5 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.13
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.9
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.22
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.71
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alex Michelsen vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$5.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.