NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ad46ad419568d358e55c5d71ec4920d18879a5081d688cfdf09b281923599f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Bucks | 48c | 95,946$46,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,682.35 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Nets | 52c | 79,532$41,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,204.52 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Nets | 52c | 42,537$22,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,119.44 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…bad3backed Bucks | 48c | 38,278$18,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,904.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Nets | 51c | 32,741$16,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,583.14 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Nets | 49c | 13,759$6,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,741.41 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bucks | 51c | 13,282$6,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,508.12 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Bucks | 49c | 13,116$6,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,690.77 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks | 50c | 9,944$4,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,971.96 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Bucks | 49c | 7,983$3,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,071.12 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 50c | 7,439$3,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,744.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks | 50c | 6,327$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.73 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Bucks | 50c | 4,714$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.17 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Nets | 52c | 4,079$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.1 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Nets | 50c | 3,492$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Nets | 50c | 3,066$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.64 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Nets | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nets | 19c | 2,919$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.6 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Bucks | 48c | 2,871$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.28 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Nets | 50c | 2,667$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.66 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Bucks | 50c | 2,425$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.5 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Nets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Bucks | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Nets | 49c | 1,776$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.47 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nets | 51c | 1,707$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.82 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nets | 50c | 1,703$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nets | 29c | 1,680$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.13 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Nets | 52c | 1,591$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.02 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Bucks | 50c | 1,427$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.46 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Bucks | 49c | 1,409$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.59 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Nets | 50c | 1,171$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.4 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Nets | 51c | 1,068$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.93 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Nets | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae8…259abacked Nets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Bucks | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.39 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Nets | 50c | 966.31$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.06 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Nets | 50c | 960.3$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.15 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nets | 37c | 951.14$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.92 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nets | 48c | 934.85$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.11 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nets | 48c | 931.32$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.52 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Bucks | 49c | 917$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.61 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Nets | 50c | 883.62$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.68 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Nets | 41c | 876.78$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.75 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nets | 50c | 823.69$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Nets | 50c | 799.45$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.72 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Nets | 52c | 778.85$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Bucks | 50c | 740.95$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.03 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Bucks | 73c | 677.27$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.49 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 28c | 621.36$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Bucks | 48c | 611.84$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.75 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Bucks | 75c | 588.53$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.92 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets | 25c | 585.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.67 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Bucks | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Bucks | 49c | 554.73$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.38 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nets | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Nets | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Bucks | 50c | 498.58$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.29 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Bucks | 50c | 498.58$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.29 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Bucks | 49c | 468.93$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.9 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Nets | 50c | 462.69$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.35 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…a8aebacked Bucks | 49c | 385.82$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.77 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bucks | 73c | 384.98$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Nets | 25c | 325.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucks | 64c | 312.93$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Bucks | 49c | 305.77$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.11 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Bucks | 49c | 303.44$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.08 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nets | 50c | 285.54$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.57 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Nets | 50c | 282.83$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.42 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bucks | 48c | 278$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.09 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Bucks | 62c | 248.24$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Bucks | 49c | 234.61$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaede…4e26backed Nets | 20c | 221.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Bucks | 50c | 212.02$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Bucks | 51c | 210.85$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.11 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Bucks | 49c | 210.6$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.54 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Bucks | 49c | 202.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Bucks | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Bucks | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Nets | 52c | 197.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nets | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Bucks | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Nets | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 473 | 57.9%274 W · 199 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Bucks | 67c | 189.69$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Nets | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Bucks | 49c | 183.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…0b26backed Nets | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Nets | 12c | 177.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Nets | 51c | 171.62$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Bucks | 50c | 170.58$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Bucks | 49c | 167.87$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a2…3beebacked Bucks | 50c | 154.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.34 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Nets | 49c | 147$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Bucks | 50c | 142.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…8301backed Bucks | 51c | 142.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Bucks | 66c | 141.6$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Bucks | 49c | 140.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Bucks | 49c | 134.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Bucks | 49c | 125.39$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…e0f5backed Bucks | 49c | 125.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Bucks | 50c | 120.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)this page
- Nets vs. BucksBucks won
- Nets vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 4.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 5.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-9.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.