NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc95f520b48b719576374cae680de04be85f59e355ee3a1c80de89f8ee2c750c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Nets | 49c | 79,647$38,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,897.85 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Bucks | 51c | 24,927$12,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,214.44 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Bucks | 51c | 19,031$9,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,325.37 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Bucks | 52c | 16,427$8,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,884.88 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Nets | 48c | 13,979$6,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,709.91 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Nets | 49c | 11,250$5,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,512.57 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Bucks | 51c | 10,385$5,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,088.86 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…6f34backed Bucks | 51c | 4,405$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Nets | 47c | 4,160$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.18 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bucks | 52c | 3,789$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.84 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 60c | 3,489$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.06 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 47c | 3,046$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Bucks | 56c | 2,752$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.64 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Bucks | 52c | 2,424$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.57 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nets | 48c | 2,420$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Bucks | 52c | 2,259$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.38 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Nets | 48c | 2,176$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.37 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Nets | 48c | 2,038$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.41 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Bucks | 52c | 1,979$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.94 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Bucks | 52c | 1,922$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.5 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Bucks | 53c | 1,812$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.57 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Bucks | 52c | 1,730$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.4 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Bucks | 53c | 1,709$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.39 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 51c | 1,658$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.78 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Bucks | 53c | 1,588$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.32 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Bucks | 53c | 1,297$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.4 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Nets | 53c | 1,239$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.87 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 51c | 1,080$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.34 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Bucks | 52c | 1,051$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.32 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bucks | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Bucks | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.18 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nets | 47c | 958.02$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.27 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Bucks | 46c | 935.67$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.26 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Bucks | 75c | 914.54$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.22 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bucks | 61c | 874.75$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Bucks | 61c | 868.96$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.88 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Bucks | 61c | 868.96$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.88 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Bucks | 52c | 814.27$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.85 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Bucks | 53c | 794.93$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.62 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Bucks | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.71 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Bucks | 51c | 624.55$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.03 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bucks | 64c | 618.72$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.36 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Nets | 47c | 588.45$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.57 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Bucks | 53c | 509.72$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.59 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Bucks | 53c | 478.69$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.98 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Bucks | 79c | 458.92$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.37 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Bucks | 53c | 408.3$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.49 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Bucks | 53c | 387.8$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.27 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked Bucks | 51c | 350.24$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.62 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Bucks | 52c | 330.16$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.84 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets | 32c | 326.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Bucks | 53c | 323.17$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.89 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Bucks | 51c | 312.23$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…2438backed Bucks | 53c | 306.21$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.92 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Bucks | 54c | 304.29$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Bucks | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Bucks | 51c | 288.27$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c60…123ebacked Bucks | 53c | 281.82$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…bd4dbacked Nets | 48c | 280.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Nets | 46c | 263.06$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.95 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Nets | 46c | 255.7$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.62 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bucks | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Nets | 23c | 224.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…3170backed Nets | 49c | 223.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Bucks | 54c | 198.05$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucks | 51c | 190.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…f954backed Bucks | 53c | 187.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bucks | 52c | 186.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Bucks | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Bucks | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Bucks | 51c | 182.45$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Bucks | 53c | 178.81$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Bucks | 52c | 173.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…2fa4backed Bucks | 53c | 158.22$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Nets | 46c | 157.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Bucks | 53c | 155.57$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Nets | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Nets | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Nets | 47c | 138.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Bucks | 53c | 131.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Bucks | 53c | 120.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Bucks | 53c | 119.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Bucks | 53c | 110.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Bucks | 52c | 106.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b5…7474backed Bucks | 53c | 105.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c7…2377backed Nets | 48c | 105.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bucks | 52c | 103$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…6039backed Nets | 37c | 100.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Nets | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bucks | 53c | 99.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Bucks | 66c | 97.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Bucks | 65c | 97.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Bucks | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Bucks | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Nets | 48c | 90.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Bucks | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Bucks | 46c | 86.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Bucks | 51c | 82.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Bucks | 60c | 82.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Nets | 46c | 81.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-9.5)this page
- Nets vs. BucksBucks won
- Nets vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 4.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 5.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.