NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc71c5578989a95c7ebadaa08a2c5d110f53f81cb1cdb67e33d30df53ac63938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 48c | 2,921$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.65 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 63c | 1,371$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.61 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 1,146$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.82 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Over | 46c | 1,105$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.7 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 49c | 1,016$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.86 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa010…98bdbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…648dbacked Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 54c | 900.36$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.17 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 64c | 817.88$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.1 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 40c | 798.77$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.51 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 6c | 754.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…1a04backed Under | 46c | 633.53$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.08 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 43c | 579.42$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.24 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 351.18$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.53 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 313.7$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.91 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 29c | 283.46$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 53c | 232.09$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.12 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 209.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 62c | 197.02$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.15 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 38c | 160.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 28c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d1…c15ebacked Under | 47c | 133.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 60c | 122$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 40c | 120.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 21c | 115.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 38c | 105.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 51c | 94.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 40c | 84.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Under | 61c | 80.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 60c | 78.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 54c | 75.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 61.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 40c | 58.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 67c | 50.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 45c | 49.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 68c | 47.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 57c | 45.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 44c | 44.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 52c | 44.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 60c | 41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 58c | 38.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…3170backed Over | 42c | 36.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 53c | 35.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 73 | 82.2%60 W · 13 L | +18.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 35.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc05e…5f93backed Under | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 59c | 29.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 59c | 29.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 59c | 29.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 44c | 29.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Under | 60c | 28.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Under | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 53c | 26.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 53c | 26.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 54c | 25.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 53c | 23.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 57c | 23.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…f841backed Over | 52c | 22.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 57c | 22.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 57c | 22.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 57c | 22.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 57c | 18.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5this page
- Nets vs. BucksBucks won
- Nets vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Over won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 4.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 5.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-9.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.