NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x958fc86fe0aea306a62b3dd2312424fc3050c28b52f23172c4853727ee1cdbb8

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $283,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $279,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,416 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Over	52c	216,893$112,388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104,505.32	111	37.8%42 W · 69 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under	48c	59,049$28,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,343.6	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	48c	56,276$27,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,023.86	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	48c	42,386$20,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,455.23	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over	50c	25,845$12,959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,886.28	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under	50c	24,098$12,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,049.12	155	45.8%71 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under	48c	20,172$9,683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,682.59	323	51.1%165 W · 158 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Over	52c	17,054$8,868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,185.94	159	52.8%84 W · 75 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under	50c	10,019$5,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,009.18	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under	48c	8,333$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,999.94	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Under	48c	7,331$3,519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,519.1	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	48c	6,043$2,901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,900.66	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under	49c	2,994$1,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,467.1	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under	48c	2,018$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.8	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under	50c	1,940$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under	50c	1,920$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	51c	1,884$961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.11	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	49c	1,838$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896.87	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under	48c	1,838$882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$882.19	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under	49c	1,796$871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870.98	316	43.4%137 W · 179 L	-18.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	52c	1,313$676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.36	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under	48c	1,076$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.64	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	49c	1,005$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.58	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over	52c	1,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	89	51.7%46 W · 43 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under	48c	807.33$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.52	187	48.1%90 W · 97 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	165	50.9%84 W · 81 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under	48c	711.25$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.29	394	48.7%192 W · 202 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over	52c	701.17$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.62	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Under	48c	619.06$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.15	140	49.3%69 W · 71 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under	48c	605.5$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.64	298	48%143 W · 155 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Under	48c	562.87$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.18	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over	52c	467.46$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.09	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	48c	407.87$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.86	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under	49c	400$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under	48c	394.04$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.14	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	50c	394$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under	48c	387.52$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.01	288	52.1%150 W · 138 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbcd7…eac9backed Under	48c	387.52$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.01	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under	48c	352.64$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.27	193	48.2%93 W · 100 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	50c	311.74$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.49	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	267	45.3%121 W · 146 L	-7.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Over	51c	299.98$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.99	111	57.7%64 W · 47 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Under	49c	296.76$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.41	384	53.4%205 W · 179 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Over	52c	288.45$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.46	108	54.6%59 W · 49 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under	48c	282.89$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.79	162	49.4%80 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Under	48c	282.89$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.79	200	40%80 W · 120 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Under	48c	282.89$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.79	114	53.5%61 W · 53 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb74f…030abacked Under	48c	282.89$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.79	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under	48c	282.57$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.63	155	43.2%67 W · 88 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under	49c	282.1$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.23	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	52c	233.71$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.53	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over	52c	233.71$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.53	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over	52c	233.71$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.53	192	54.7%105 W · 87 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over	50c	230.86$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.43	160	48.8%78 W · 82 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	52c	226.52$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.07	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over	52c	226.52$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.07	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over	52c	216.02$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.69	376	47.3%178 W · 198 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over	52c	216.02$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.69	417	53.2%222 W · 195 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	50c	216$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over	52c	208.82$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.24	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over	52c	208.82$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.24	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over	52c	204.46$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.5	611	51.4%314 W · 297 L	+17.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under	49c	198.73$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.38	498	52.6%262 W · 236 L	+15.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under	48c	198.6$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.33	223	51.6%115 W · 108 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under	50c	192.06$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.03	337	48.1%162 W · 175 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over	52c	183.7$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.29	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	49c	178.72$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.73	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Under	48c	171.48$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.31	110	50.9%56 W · 54 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over	50c	161.97$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.99	143	47.6%68 W · 75 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under	49c	151.23$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.1	293	52.9%155 W · 138 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under	49c	142.5$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.83	447	47%210 W · 237 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under	49c	142.44$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.8	131	38.2%50 W · 81 L	-9.3wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x108c…122dbacked Under	48c	142.41$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.36	61	34.4%21 W · 40 L	-10.1wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	39c	140.03$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.71	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…ce34backed Under	49c	137.33$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.88	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under	49c	135.2$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.25	128	57.8%74 W · 54 L	+7.0wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Under	49c	114.39$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.05	162	45.1%73 W · 89 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Under	48c	114.32$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.87	123	57.7%71 W · 52 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd82…4068backed Under	48c	114.32$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.87	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under	48c	114.32$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.87	361	53.5%193 W · 168 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	970	49.5%480 W · 490 L	-11.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under	51c	97.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	232	51.7%120 W · 112 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over	50c	97$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.5	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	50c	97$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.5	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked Under	49c	96.94$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	93	61.3%57 W · 36 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under	48c	96.88$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	217	43.8%95 W · 122 L	-14.2wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over	52c	93.38$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.82	443	47.2%209 W · 234 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over	52c	93.38$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.82	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over	52c	93.38$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.82	253	48.6%123 W · 130 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Under	51c	85.12$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.41	91	54.9%50 W · 41 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Under	49c	83.09$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.71	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked Under	48c	82.35$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.53	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under	48c	80.73$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.75	592	55.4%328 W · 264 L	+23.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under	49c	73.2$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.87	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Under	48c	72.66$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.88	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under	48c	72.66$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.88	261	47.1%123 W · 138 L	-8.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Under	49c	68.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.9	94	54.3%51 W · 43 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked Under	48c	62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.76	92	45.7%42 W · 50 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event