TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,621

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,525 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c10,628$5,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3141,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under52c6,374$3,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,314.3615545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under50c5,529$2,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,764.3614441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c4,953$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.914,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c4,847$2,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.291,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c2,858$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.476,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked Under51c2,235$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.953145.2%14 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c1,897$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.244,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Under50c1,494$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.920051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c1,433$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.29,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over48c1,076$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.745251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under44c1,010$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.5452230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c1,000$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.661,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under50c960.3$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.1517349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under51c958.97$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.188450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over71c830.3$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.311,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over56c745.45$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32810239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under43c667.81$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.161,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under41c571.57$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.653,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Over49c456.56$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.8413551.1%69 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over60c402.07$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.291,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under13c383.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.371,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under50c351.14$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5716946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c311.99$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.222,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13276653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1445,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over57c292.44$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.751,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over48c275.02$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.012,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Under53c246$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.384045%18 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under52c207.67$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over48c189$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2856843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Under54c180.2$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2413148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Over49c177$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.525450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d6…aedbbacked Over49c165.24$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.110657.5%61 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0178…cfa6backed Under51c141.81$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.09616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-69.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bdc…0c38backed Under51c127.51$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.537057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over48c118.09$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.417037.1%26 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under22c115.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.348,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Under21c104.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.019046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4866046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over50c98.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.051,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62db…d58ebacked Under50c97.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.992065%13 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c96.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.312,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over47c96.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3168838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c89.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.283,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Over48c89.96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7811143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe741…fc1abacked Over49c84.54$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.114942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over50c78.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.319254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under21c65.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7618444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Under52c59.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.085042%21 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over52c59.34$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3359250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over48c58.97$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6617250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over48c52.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over52c48.84$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2225348.6%123 W · 130 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over49c48.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7227945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…fa34backed Over51c47.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.466147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Over48c47.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.565536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over53c46.07$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6857051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over52c42.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.558953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f0…1e62backed Under49c42.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.95547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under40c42.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9745445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under52c40.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.271,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9937853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Over51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6514253.5%76 W · 66 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0195…9f64backed Under53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.442470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over48c31.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3839448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46b1…3170backed Under50c31.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.524242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over49c30.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.331,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under51c29.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1156447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under51c29.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1144551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b11…7e2cbacked Over50c29.52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Over49c28.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.719644.8%43 W · 53 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under53c26.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0244347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under53c26.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0212752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under53c26.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0222047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe891…3be8backed Under50c26.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae8…bf5fbacked Under50c26.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08fb…3659backed Over80c24.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.94560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d96…f714backed Under49c24.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Over50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1271752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d25…0867backed Over49c23.85$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.162339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over53c22.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Under49c22.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.818350.6%42 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over53c21.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2337647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over53c21.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.011,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1014448.6%70 W · 74 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.