NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c21eb2db14babc689510f1dd700bbb719d03393bfbc7238b0095421dd3de869
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 4,154$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.18 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.99 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 3,466$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 47c | 1,405$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.84 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 44c | 1,333$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.18 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Over | 56c | 1,106$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.8 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 45c | 887.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.35 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 47c | 824$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.72 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 47c | 731.16$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.33 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 47c | 731.16$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.33 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 48c | 717.07$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.04 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 48c | 717.07$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.04 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 48c | 717.07$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.04 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 47c | 702.59$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.91 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 47c | 623.82$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.16 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 55c | 436.97$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.79 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 425.46$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Under | 53c | 403.65$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.93 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 54c | 216.65$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 48c | 207.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 52c | 196.38$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…fcd1backed Under | 55c | 172.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 130.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…fc1abacked Under | 53c | 113.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Under | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…0c38backed Under | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Under | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 47c | 82.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 47c | 68.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 49c | 46.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 48c | 43.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Over | 46c | 42.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 46c | 41.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454e…f684backed Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 40c | 36.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 54c | 31.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 53c | 30.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d0…8db8backed Under | 54c | 28.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 55c | 23.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5this page
- Nets vs. BucksBucks won
- Nets vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 221.5Over won
- Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 4.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 5.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 1.5No won
- Spread: Bucks (-10.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-9.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.