TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e14…fcd1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: WNBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)backed Haiti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$306.45
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,083.33
Will Wales win on 2026-06-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$277.97
Exact Score: Georgia 1 - 1 Romania?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$307.14
Exact Score: Georgia 1 - 0 Romania?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$337.36
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$215.38
All 16 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+41.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
WNBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 178.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$527.51
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 182.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$42.69
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chicago Sky vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 179.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 182.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$603Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$603.4
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$650
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$676.6
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+158.4%+$633.54
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.