WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 182.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x414c6ba1735b2aa507140ad00018da9fea7e1af1d35c478ba88c862fcdbc980d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 52c | 14,339$7,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,415.67 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 6,138$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,169.05 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 4,390$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.9 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 4,222$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.35 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e3…b6d0backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…edacbacked Over | 51c | 1,967$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 50c | 1,439$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.55 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 50c | 1,119$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.56 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…2cbabacked Over | 51c | 805$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.55 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Under | 54c | 753.52$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.62 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 50c | 637.38$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.69 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 564.23$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.12 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 48c | 531.19$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.97 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…5c6abacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 72c | 391.66$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.66 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Over | 50c | 320.24$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.12 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 48c | 227.46$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.28 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 220.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 53c | 189.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 163$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…19e2backed Over | 22c | 153.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 49c | 140.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 50c | 126$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Under | 63c | 122.19$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…fcd1backed Over | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 97.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Under | 78c | 86.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Under | 47c | 63.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 52c | 47.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 50c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cc…9986backed Over | 52c | 22.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 50c | 22.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 46c | 22.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…0e20backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 182.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 181.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.