TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 181.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,925 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Over55c12,982$7,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,097.4210749.5%53 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over41c4,837$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.550646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c4,701$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.7683748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under47c4,151$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.217946.4%83 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c3,882$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.6299548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over35c2,638$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.7874942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c1,950$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.141,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under59c1,647$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.2650952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Under45c1,420$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.264967.3%33 W · 16 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+38.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under67c1,286$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.36066.7%40 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c1,218$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.941145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Over11c836.95$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.732123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2b0…cfa1backed Under59c807.62$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.81952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under70c686.54$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.4417656.8%100 W · 76 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over50c673$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.511156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over48c571.11$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.81,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013742.3%58 W · 79 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Over55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c517.52$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.2917946.9%84 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under50c517.14$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.8832750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Under48c516.77$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.284546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under73c460$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8825246%116 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under63c449.31$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.5613256.8%75 W · 57 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Under61c440.22$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.475655.4%31 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over53c379.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010059%59 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under59c361.58$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.255255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1378…dbd2backed Under64c360.94$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.941936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over50c342$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17132743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e11…644abacked Under77c325.86$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.865967.8%40 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under46c313.41$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2485158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under49c304.56$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.3322446%103 W · 121 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a1…a119backed Over53c264.61$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405850%29 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over43c257.01$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0320340.9%83 W · 120 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Under49c249.98$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.494645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under47c245.47$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.178548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under45c215.43$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.85933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+54.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Over51c213.96$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2515451.9%80 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over52c210$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.232346.7%151 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over51c204.5$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.285360.4%32 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under46c198.28$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2830734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008154.3%44 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x428d…8cb6backed Over51c187.82$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.711060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under48c185.04$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8428447.9%136 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76fd…ab71backed Under58c179.98$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over48c170.82$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9930347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under49c159.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6217143.9%75 W · 96 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Under43c140.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.929549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c140$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.227049.6%134 W · 136 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6af…c64abacked Over53c138.89$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.275066%33 W · 17 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over13c118.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8928140.6%114 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Over55c116.1$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.862152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Over41c112.34$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5819245.8%88 W · 104 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x770f…ac44backed Under68c112.04$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.852441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Over54c101.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5516153.4%86 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8356…d6cbbacked Under64c101.73$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under49c100.61$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3134448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506437.5%24 W · 40 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.045949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under70c96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.814936.9%55 W · 94 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over53c95.74$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7414346.2%66 W · 77 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015553.5%83 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d2…c938backed Over59c82.58$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.721361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over43c70.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1510453.8%56 W · 48 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eaf…1f76backed Under46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.225773.7%42 W · 15 L+8.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+24%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under49c62.8$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0371245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under49c53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.039351.6%48 W · 45 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under64c51.56$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5612650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d18…2365backed Over55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.58442.9%36 W · 48 L-10.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Over41c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98451.2%43 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Under61c49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.113470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+46.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under57c48.92$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.235156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over55c46.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4442649.3%210 W · 216 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Under46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.485238.5%20 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd027…8b66backed Over48c39.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed7…aae7backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under46c37.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.564152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Over48c37.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.884942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbd3…0e24backed Over54c37.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-50.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over34c32.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.18641.6%1 W · 63 L-26.1wins-0.41per pick42cpaid-97.6%equal weight17-0.29 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under63c30.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.166969.6%48 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb8b…da36backed Under65c27.45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.661060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under48c26.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5926054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Under60c25.9$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.367470.3%52 W · 22 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x205d…2ad2backed Under47c25.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.483956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.