TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0eaf…1f76

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
222
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: WNBA, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 62 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7027.1%19 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Egypt to score first vs. Australia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Omar Marmoush: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.57
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Riyad Mahrez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Switzerland vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT5773.7%42 W · 15 L+8.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+24%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
WNBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-3.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Golden State Valkyries vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 155.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Liberty vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-12.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
PortlandFire vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 179.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-16.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$16.21
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 186.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-10.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$12.48
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 175.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
CF Pachuca vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Querétaro FC vs. CF América: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$19.58
Exact Score: CD Guadalajara 0 - 2 Deportivo Toluca FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$20.25
CD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$12.93
CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Club León FC vs. Atlas FC: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$13.65
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Washington Nationals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+117.6%+$58.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bebop (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group Dbacked Black Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs 1WIN (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Play-Inbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$15.27
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Entropy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$9.02
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 4 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 3 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$27.09
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group Bbacked Entropy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs WBT - Map 1 Winnerbacked WBT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$15.65
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 Winnerbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Ground Zero (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Playoffsbacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$10.09
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bonn: Clement Tabur vs Henri Squirebacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Targu Mures: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Maia Ilinca Burcescubacked Maia Ilinca Burcescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Bonn: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
San Marino: Pedro Martinez vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.94
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.67
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Targu Mures: Caijsa Hennemann vs Mia Pohankovabacked Caijsa Hennemann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.57
Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Mark Lajalbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
ITF Luan: Alina Tikhonova vs Naho Satobacked Alina Tikhonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$34.54
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$19.56
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.02
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$9.66
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$30.06
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Djurgardens IF O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IK Sirius O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius: IF Elfsborg O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Halmstads BK vs. BK Hacken: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.62
Spread: Hammarby IF (-1.5)backed Hammarby IF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Molde FK vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Viking FK vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-43.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggetsbacked Toronto Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.