TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fluxo W7Mof Fluxo W7M, Imperial
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$148,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,306 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Fluxo W7M75c11,431$8,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,896.9463057.1%360 W · 270 L+40.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe97…361ebacked Fluxo W7M77c6,669$5,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.372777.8%21 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Fluxo W7M75c4,800$3,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.9619353.9%104 W · 89 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Imperial33c3,677$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.173,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Imperial16c2,991$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.452,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Imperial43c2,598$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.022,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Imperial43c2,522$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.4435953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Imperial31c2,053$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.033,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcece…ffeebacked Imperial55c2,035$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.4511844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Fluxo W7M59c1,856$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.933,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Imperial50c1,704$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.8252150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Imperial44c1,439$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.94,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Fluxo W7M42c1,428$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.243458.8%20 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+47.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Fluxo W7M48c1,370$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.6375145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Imperial18c1,248$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.6461737.9%234 W · 383 L-22.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc28f…6193backed Imperial53c1,020$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.4910354.4%56 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial48c961.25$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.124,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial40c922.04$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.776,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa019…c220backed Imperial56c886.99$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.7121437.9%81 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Fluxo W7M48c821.58$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.732,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Fluxo W7M56c804.16$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.16875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c7c…f44dbacked Fluxo W7M53c748.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.43650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Fluxo W7M45c700$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38720944.5%93 W · 116 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Imperial18c668.75$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204839.6%19 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Imperial38c634.21$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.5114441.7%60 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Fluxo W7M64c623$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.3945646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274f…971abacked Fluxo W7M49c613.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.34440.9%18 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a96…7a34backed Imperial56c602.41$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.162420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…a265backed Imperial55c564.34$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.2918844.1%83 W · 105 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed Imperial52c557.69$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2903458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Imperial55c547.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037650.3%189 W · 187 L-15.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Imperial63c546.84$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4781751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fluxo W7M51c532.97$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.833,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf85a…960ebacked Fluxo W7M54c526.98$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.984934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf6f…9f0abacked Fluxo W7M20c499.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.986251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Imperial49c498.94$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.253,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c75…227fbacked Imperial42c397.49$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Fluxo W7M62c376.7$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.552,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Fluxo W7M24c315.98$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23938032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Imperial32c297.59$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.912,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Imperial54c278.06$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1494742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Imperial29c270.75$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.72,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Fluxo W7M49c264.21$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.649042.2%38 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c7…18aebacked Imperial53c263$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Imperial51c239.34$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0610063%63 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Imperial32c223.34$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.121,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Fluxo W7M49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Imperial39c200.19$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.494,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Fluxo W7M35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1305742.1%24 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Imperial20c200$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3913834.8%48 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Imperial52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10437145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Imperial25c178$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.91,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe95…830fbacked Fluxo W7M65c154.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.581050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Imperial45c149.56$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.51,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bb6…5154backed Imperial68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009856.1%55 W · 43 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba18…32dcbacked Imperial74c145.93$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42c8…a25cbacked Fluxo W7M71c145$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.716048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Imperial52c141.56$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4863341.9%265 W · 368 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Fluxo W7M28c140.46$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.422,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Imperial54c134.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.894654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f1…e320backed Fluxo W7M44c131.59$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.693959%23 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Imperial39c130$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1333459%197 W · 137 L+24.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Imperial34c116.27$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.994,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked Fluxo W7M50c113.82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4139353.2%209 W · 184 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Imperial36c109.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.411,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ec…81bebacked Fluxo W7M42c108.64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.411040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc818…1da3backed Fluxo W7M33c105.76$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.558925.8%23 W · 66 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Fluxo W7M42c105.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0221952.5%115 W · 104 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed Fluxo W7M48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5213759.9%82 W · 55 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Imperial32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3241150.1%206 W · 205 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5e…7e92backed Imperial11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c47…2e55backed Fluxo W7M50c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.524047.9%115 W · 125 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eaf…1f76backed Fluxo W7M69c87.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.091275%9 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Fluxo W7M50c83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.52,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked Fluxo W7M60c82.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0638269.4%265 W · 117 L+30.8wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed Imperial54c76.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.567139.4%28 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9291…63d0backed Imperial67c74.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502250%11 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Imperial39c73.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.862,11942.9%909 W · 1,210 L-66.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cc7…2fd4backed Fluxo W7M21c71.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.43911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd575…0ee1backed Imperial61c70.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x014a…9ddbbacked Imperial59c69.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.29966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91c7…24fabacked Imperial54c69.73$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x673e…b0d0backed Fluxo W7M45c66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.624153.7%22 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+30%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Fluxo W7M76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-62.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec24…d744backed Fluxo W7M46c63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.046046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Imperial45c62.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.342,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a4…dbc9backed Fluxo W7M42c61.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.651145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d4…a3d5backed Imperial27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.95552.7%29 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6469…d7cabacked Fluxo W7M52c57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Imperial54c53.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9375438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed Imperial38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb400…78e2backed Fluxo W7M78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.286959.4%41 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x866b…25acbacked Fluxo W7M40c49.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.634557.8%26 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+37.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5df0…95b3backed Fluxo W7M55c46.88$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.113770.8%97 W · 40 L+15.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe011…159fbacked Fluxo W7M43c46.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.36757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Fluxo W7M50c44.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.128441.7%35 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ee…aa56backed Fluxo W7M45c43.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.173663.9%23 W · 13 L+5.4wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Fluxo W7M63c41.89$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.657763.6%49 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed Imperial48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x905e…135bbacked Fluxo W7M48c40.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.