CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e2b42e8c9daa3ac10ee7508e8541ab00877f19ddf3a3e53175ee8125e4b2f99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Fluxo W7M, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Imperial | 77c | 6,745$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.6 | 630 | 57.1%360 W · 270 L | +40.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Imperial | 66c | 6,265$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.96 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…ffeebacked Fluxo W7M | 37c | 6,212$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.28 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fluxo W7M | 11c | 3,883$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.67 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Fluxo W7M | 44c | 3,379$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.66 | 633 | 41.9%265 W · 368 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Imperial | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Imperial | 64c | 2,051$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.22 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Fluxo W7M | 22c | 1,387$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.91 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fluxo W7M | 27c | 1,115$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.92 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Imperial | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Imperial | 75c | 778.31$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.53 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Imperial | 76c | 749.69$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd9…1da0backed Imperial | 57c | 739.71$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Imperial | 59c | 725.64$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.64 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Fluxo W7M | 38c | 719.72$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.49 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7c…f44dbacked Fluxo W7M | 42c | 710.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Fluxo W7M | 45c | 648.64$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Imperial | 56c | 637.88$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.99 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Imperial | 70c | 629.61$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.71 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Fluxo W7M | 21c | 582.4$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.03 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Fluxo W7M | 44c | 570.89$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.86 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fluxo W7M | 25c | 550.63$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.07 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fluxo W7M | 22c | 545.16$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Fluxo W7M | 36c | 499.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 554 | 41.2%228 W · 326 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Fluxo W7M | 24c | 499.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fluxo W7M | 22c | 421.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Imperial | 58c | 420.26$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.7 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Fluxo W7M | 44c | 387$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.28 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial | 79c | 362.99$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Fluxo W7M | 44c | 358.58$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Fluxo W7M | 22c | 349.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Imperial | 59c | 340.56$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.17 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…f13bbacked Fluxo W7M | 44c | 285.3$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Imperial | 61c | 280.06$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.12 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Fluxo W7M | 25c | 260$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 611 | 38.1%233 W · 378 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fluxo W7M | 31c | 241.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…4179backed Fluxo W7M | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f4…711abacked Fluxo W7M | 24c | 219.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Imperial | 68c | 189.66$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Fluxo W7M | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fluxo W7M | 41c | 143.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Imperial | 56c | 137.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Fluxo W7M | 44c | 136$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5be…bc54backed Fluxo W7M | 32c | 129.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae4…7084backed Fluxo W7M | 43c | 116.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Fluxo W7M | 44c | 114.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Imperial | 56c | 113.63$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…7a34backed Fluxo W7M | 20c | 101.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Imperial | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 721 | 53.7%387 W · 334 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf521…c7b0backed Fluxo W7M | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Imperial | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Imperial | 59c | 88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf3…35aabacked Imperial | 58c | 86.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Imperial | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fluxo W7M | 17c | 74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 1,303 | 26.5%345 W · 958 L | -89.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Imperial | 76c | 61.84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Fluxo W7M | 43c | 59.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 377 | 59.7%225 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…9ddbbacked Fluxo W7M | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…24fabacked Fluxo W7M | 45c | 51.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Imperial | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Imperial | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Imperial | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Imperial | 59c | 34.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Imperial | 59c | 33.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Imperial | 58c | 25.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Fluxo W7M | 46c | 25.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Imperial | 76c | 23.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…2560backed Imperial | 79c | 21.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Imperial | 66c | 20.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Imperial | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Imperial | 62c | 18.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Imperial | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsFluxo W7M won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 3 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs Imperial (+1.5)Imperial won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)Fluxo W7M won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)Fluxo W7M won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.