CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e0941709c37ad4e5b1de8305372a71591b499a89871adf5ed3531ebcab2714b

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Imperialof Fluxo W7M, Imperial
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $63,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $67,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,700 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe8a…23cebacked Fluxo W7M	53c	2,384$1,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,266.55	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd0…cdd6backed Imperial	62c	1,482$916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$565.69	152	44.7%68 W · 84 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Imperial	50c	1,177$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584.72	359	53.2%191 W · 168 L	+14.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Fluxo W7M	50c	1,167$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.3	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb538…7a1ebacked Imperial	76c	1,010$764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.67	12	83.3%10 W · 2 L	+2.4wins	+0.20per pick	64cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Imperial	50c	1,006$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$506.12	817	51.7%422 W · 395 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Fluxo W7M	52c	968$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.26	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Fluxo W7M	24c	853.55$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.92	618	37.9%234 W · 384 L	-22.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Imperial	30c	841.94$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.9	147	42.2%62 W · 85 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Fluxo W7M	60c	740$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.8	177	59.9%106 W · 71 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Fluxo W7M	54c	714.27$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.62	631	57.1%360 W · 271 L	+40.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Fluxo W7M	46c	665.6$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.05	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Imperial	60c	651.13$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.13	263	60.8%160 W · 103 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Fluxo W7M	39c	610$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.9	521	50.3%262 W · 259 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Fluxo W7M	41c	560.03$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.68	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Fluxo W7M	42c	526.86$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.77	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fluxo W7M	48c	485.36$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.8	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fluxo W7M	62c	455$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.3	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc28f…6193backed Imperial	57c	453.31$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.09	109	56.9%62 W · 47 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Imperial	57c	438.1$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.93	378	50.3%190 W · 188 L	-15.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked Fluxo W7M	43c	359.72$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	195	48.2%94 W · 101 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Imperial	76c	340$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.68	456	46.9%214 W · 242 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed Fluxo W7M	63c	319.25$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	92	48.9%45 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Imperial	57c	318.36$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.3	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6a…7dccbacked Fluxo W7M	56c	318.23$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed Fluxo W7M	67c	298.51$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	163	49.1%80 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Imperial	32c	261.56$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.56	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	-4.9wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed Fluxo W7M	39c	250$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	292	46.9%137 W · 155 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Imperial	44c	201$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.53	1,591	46.6%741 W · 850 L	+30.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d1…a9f7backed Fluxo W7M	37c	192.08$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.94	86	39.5%34 W · 52 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Fluxo W7M	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	226	54.9%124 W · 102 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Fluxo W7M	61c	166.4$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.31	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Imperial	64c	156.24$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.24	213	62.4%133 W · 80 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Imperial	50c	152.55$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.73	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Fluxo W7M	37c	149.23$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.22	2,066	41.5%858 W · 1,208 L	-49.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Fluxo W7M	42c	139$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.79	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Imperial	34c	129$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.04	380	32.1%122 W · 258 L	-18.7wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Imperial	79c	125.25$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.3	412	60.9%251 W · 161 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Imperial	41c	123.9$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.72	2,110	47.2%995 W · 1,115 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fluxo W7M	54c	123.55$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.25	1,848	41.7%770 W · 1,078 L	-69.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Fluxo W7M	48c	122.79$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.51	754	38.9%293 W · 461 L	-38.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fluxo W7M	45c	121.49$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.57	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Fluxo W7M	37c	120$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.4	807	40.3%325 W · 482 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Fluxo W7M	42c	119.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	367	49.3%181 W · 186 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Imperial	47c	111.31$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	1,319	44.2%583 W · 736 L	+45.8wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Imperial	40c	107.16$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.45	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Imperial	36c	105.43$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.54	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66a6…f22bbacked Imperial	32c	104.8$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.35	64	56.3%36 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41c4…ceb9backed Fluxo W7M	37c	101.51$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.56	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Imperial	49c	101.28$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.25	2,473	34.6%855 W · 1,618 L	-188.5wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Imperial	48c	100.05$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.71	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Imperial	58c	100$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.75	245	58%142 W · 103 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f1…e320backed Fluxo W7M	54c	90.5$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.43	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+6.1wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Fluxo W7M	30c	83.01$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.57	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b9a…73fabacked Fluxo W7M	55c	81.73$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.95	393	53.2%209 W · 184 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed Imperial	64c	80.56$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.2	139	60.4%84 W · 55 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Imperial	49c	79.1$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.68	1,630	43.2%704 W · 926 L	-32.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Fluxo W7M	60c	64.92$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.69	700	42.3%296 W · 404 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b3…c2d7backed Imperial	64c	60.94$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.94	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Fluxo W7M	37c	52.54$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	388	44.3%172 W · 216 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b3f…6816backed Fluxo W7M	37c	50.76$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.78	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c7…b8e1backed Imperial	32c	50.4$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.12	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+3.2wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+133.7%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Fluxo W7M	44c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	1,083	42.1%456 W · 627 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Imperial	49c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.4	2,604	52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L	+98.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Fluxo W7M	40c	38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde55…1d2abacked Fluxo W7M	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	90	60%54 W · 36 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Imperial	49c	31.37$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.99	1,302	41.2%536 W · 766 L	-50.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Fluxo W7M	56c	29$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.11	147	35.4%52 W · 95 L	-12.6wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6844…d538backed Fluxo W7M	54c	22.4$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.14	115	57.4%66 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08fe…355fbacked Imperial	55c	21.92$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.92	106	59.4%63 W · 43 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Fluxo W7M	74c	16$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.84	1,274	71.5%911 W · 363 L	+3.3wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4436…35c4backed Fluxo W7M	76c	13.08$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsFluxo W7M won
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerFluxo W7M won
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 3 WinnerFluxo W7M won
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 4 WinnerImperial won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Map Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs Imperial (+1.5)Imperial won
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)Fluxo W7M won
Map Handicap: IMP (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)Fluxo W7M won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event