CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf89f534821643ee141e4cbad46b528350b7d21c557f3235b099c5cb8662c3aba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Under | 49c | 3,055$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.25 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 1,315$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.83 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 46c | 1,005$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.55 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 50c | 534.9$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.26 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 67c | 284.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.12 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 52c | 205$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…7c1ebacked Over | 32c | 148.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 68c | 114.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 37c | 88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed Under | 37c | 60.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 68c | 54.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Over | 49c | 47.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 30c | 40.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 33c | 34.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…e9bdbacked Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 39c | 29.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…723bbacked Over | 58c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsFluxo W7M won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 3 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 4 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs Imperial (+1.5)Imperial won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)Fluxo W7M won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)Fluxo W7M won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.