CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cfa1a91dab3b8b074e9b63e1d3f8e066a20f7199e196d70a27409999bacf244
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxo W7Mof Imperial, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Imperial | 47c | 2,565$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.5 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Fluxo W7M | 52c | 1,420$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.55 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Fluxo W7M | 56c | 999.98$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.01 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Imperial | 28c | 784.91$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.58 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Imperial | 47c | 668.71$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.51 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Fluxo W7M | 53c | 575.54$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.54 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Imperial | 44c | 574.36$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.63 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Imperial | 15c | 408.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fluxo W7M | 55c | 320$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.2 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial | 10c | 258.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fluxo W7M | 36c | 234.16$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.86 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Fluxo W7M | 53c | 162$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Fluxo W7M | 54c | 139.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Fluxo W7M | 52c | 100.22$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Imperial | 49c | 85.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Fluxo W7M | 52c | 84.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Imperial | 50c | 80.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Fluxo W7M | 50c | 62.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…159fbacked Fluxo W7M | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Fluxo W7M | 68c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Imperial | 31c | 52.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Imperial | 49c | 25.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Fluxo W7M | 52c | 23.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Fluxo W7M | 64c | 23.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…dab4backed Imperial | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Fluxo W7M | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO5) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit PlayoffsFluxo W7M won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 3 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 4 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs Imperial (+1.5)Imperial won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)Fluxo W7M won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.