TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fluxo W7Mof Fluxo W7M, Imperial
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,163
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,853

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,163 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcece…ffeebacked Fluxo W7M59c4,113$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.2411844.1%52 W · 66 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Imperial53c4,000$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,139.9813354.9%73 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Fluxo W7M60c2,724$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.0535953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Fluxo W7M37c2,130$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.031,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Imperial36c1,672$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.363,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Imperial38c1,662$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.4775145.4%341 W · 410 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Imperial34c1,653$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.333,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Fluxo W7M59c1,416$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.1716858.9%99 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial51c1,039$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.774,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Imperial43c991.89$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.722,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Imperial50c990.48$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.581751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Fluxo W7M60c850.02$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.0361737.9%234 W · 383 L-22.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Fluxo W7M51c826.4$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.5625345.8%116 W · 137 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d35…b406backed Imperial49c755.06$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.344535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fluxo W7M47c750$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.57,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Imperial67c737.13$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.9326360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc444…416cbacked Imperial47c723.4$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34014355.2%79 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Imperial61c683.96$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.6952150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Imperial58c652.08$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.4114441.7%60 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Imperial44c608.13$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.454,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc28f…6193backed Fluxo W7M29c599.98$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9910354.4%56 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fluxo W7M58c593.94$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.536,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Fluxo W7M51c591.81$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.572,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Imperial29c557.75$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.394,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Imperial50c509.09$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.313,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d1…a9f7backed Fluxo W7M30c495$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.788639.5%34 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed Imperial72c484.18$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Fluxo W7M52c470.91$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.82,33042.5%991 W · 1,339 L-71.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Imperial45c463.86$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2463057.1%360 W · 270 L+40.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3147…d561backed Fluxo W7M36c446.7$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.451241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+48.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6a…7dccbacked Fluxo W7M29c403.45$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.456550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Imperial53c378.82$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.782,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Imperial50c350.31$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.658744.8%39 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Imperial3c336$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.082,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Imperial65c335.85$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9337650.3%189 W · 187 L-15.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf85a…960ebacked Fluxo W7M56c330.36$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.364934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Fluxo W7M44c325$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0638032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Imperial49c306.59$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.232,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Imperial10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3038312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Imperial36c296.06$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.612,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Imperial41c283.66$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.512,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Fluxo W7M35c264.97$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.131,31444.3%582 W · 732 L+47.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Imperial69c263.24$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.0591743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fluxo W7M56c257.88$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Fluxo W7M56c252.84$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5575438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Imperial52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.31,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Imperial50c246.93$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.921,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Imperial20c238.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.832,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Imperial45c220.56$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77f1…e320backed Fluxo W7M47c212.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.653959%23 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7126…bfcbbacked Fluxo W7M40c207.6$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5619548.2%94 W · 101 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Imperial52c204.75$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.967360.3%44 W · 29 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Fluxo W7M55c181.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.521,03857.4%596 W · 442 L+18.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Imperial69c180.76$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0922654.9%124 W · 102 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf521…c7b0backed Fluxo W7M76c180$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Imperial42c162.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.433,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Fluxo W7M56c161.83$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.472,08447%979 W · 1,105 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Fluxo W7M39c160.72$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.33,16545.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L-74.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Imperial62c152.76$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.142,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Imperial38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.61,30326.5%345 W · 958 L-89.1wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Fluxo W7M49c143.94$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4189046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Fluxo W7M57c135$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7845646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed Imperial49c130.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5324756.7%140 W · 107 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Imperial37c128.1$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.45,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed Imperial68c116.25$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0513759.9%82 W · 55 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b3f…6816backed Imperial51c114.09$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.92441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e48…b8dcbacked Imperial71c109.79$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x180a…bd66backed Imperial65c106.19$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4416355.2%90 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d8…c931backed Imperial46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6497…de5bbacked Fluxo W7M53c85.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc7…2fd4backed Imperial27c85.52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.09911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b3…c2d7backed Imperial72c84.76$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.036457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Imperial71c80.03$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8233553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Imperial53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4293261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Imperial72c79.57$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5719449%95 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Imperial64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036349.6%180 W · 183 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Fluxo W7M58c77.05$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.721,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Imperial61c74.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4521060%126 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c7…b8e1backed Fluxo W7M39c66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.286100%6 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+133.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xff95…859cbacked Imperial61c63.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.693551.4%18 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91c7…24fabacked Imperial28c60.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa533…755fbacked Imperial62c50.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.185350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Fluxo W7M47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.541150.1%206 W · 205 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Imperial26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.089042.2%38 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db1…528cbacked Fluxo W7M49c47.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.417150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Imperial40c46.76$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.527439.2%29 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Fluxo W7M58c43.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.431,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec24…d744backed Fluxo W7M45c43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.546046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Fluxo W7M35c35.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.014,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Imperial45c34.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5624558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Fluxo W7M54c33.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xb3f6…b228backed Imperial49c32.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166850%34 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08f6…cd51backed Fluxo W7M53c26.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6613148.9%64 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Fluxo W7M76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3217159.6%102 W · 69 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37fb…d4dabacked Fluxo W7M46c25.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.811478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Imperial47c24.17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.275922.9%17 W · 575 L-219.6wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.9%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Fluxo W7M49c23.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2241853.6%224 W · 194 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed Imperial71c23.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5232361.6%199 W · 124 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Fluxo W7M49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.320742.5%88 W · 119 L-17.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Imperial51c19.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.131,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.