TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x37fb…d4da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.46
Valorant: VARREL vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.6
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$21.25
Valorant: REJECT vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffsbacked REJECT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.63
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$29.23
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.73
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$9.99
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$24.53
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$30
Valorant: TYLOO vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$24.66
Valorant: Nova Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$3.95
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.3
Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked MIBR LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$5.99
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$12
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.64
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.54
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffsbacked Lazer Cats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+108.1%+$98.44
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ECHO (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Dbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Dbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$15.77
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+30%+$41.46
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Misa Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked Honvéd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$34.19
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Cbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.79
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$16.09
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Atreides (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$13.81
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$4.37
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$5.97
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$6.01
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$10.08
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$33.62
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.67
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.36
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.59
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$10.76
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$5.07
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$6.04
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$7.72
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$6.43
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$15.77
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.14
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$8.08
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$14.07
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$7.62
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$3.15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Mark Lajalbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
ITF Luan: Maria Kalyakina vs JiaYi Wangbacked JiaYi Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$22.39
Trieste: Matej Dodig vs Hugo Dellienbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$24.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-07-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)backed O'Higgins FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.