CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Atreides (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdf5b55a1f9f00c17aad9fd1e6551deb16f755e867a621d79627bfbd686a6d9b

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, Atreides
Resolved: Jul 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $25,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $32,098

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,883 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbad2…5296backed Atreides	31c	2,188$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.19	150	46%69 W · 81 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Atreides	8c	1,787$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.58	2,365	45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L	-58.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked Eternal Fire	70c	1,287$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.23	156	58.3%91 W · 65 L	+8.2wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Eternal Fire	76c	1,103$836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.48	1,110	54.2%602 W · 508 L	+38.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Eternal Fire	69c	851$591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.77	531	35%186 W · 345 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed Eternal Fire	77c	631.87$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.27	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Atreides	34c	532.22$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.83	5,876	37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L	+71.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Atreides	24c	509.37$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.11	6,501	42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L	-79.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Atreides	14c	457.6$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.33	2,664	30.8%820 W · 1,844 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Eternal Fire	67c	448.75$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.23	1,652	52.9%874 W · 778 L	+60.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides	6c	424.19$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.08	7,990	50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L	+180.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Atreides	25c	371.3$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.02	2,672	47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L	-31.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Atreides	31c	352.05$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.75	447	47.2%211 W · 236 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Atreides	14c	300.81$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.51	2,554	41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L	-116.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea7e…f207backed Atreides	30c	299.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-22%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Eternal Fire	68c	294.05$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.05	225	67.1%151 W · 74 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed Eternal Fire	69c	292.8$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.77	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Eternal Fire	68c	280.38$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.21	1,649	46.9%774 W · 875 L	-28.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Eternal Fire	72c	267.09$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.79	486	54.5%265 W · 221 L	+14.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Atreides	17c	251.36$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.23	896	30.7%275 W · 621 L	-64.4wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Atreides	6c	237.97$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.87	4,754	43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L	-85.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Atreides	13c	217$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.23	2,195	43.1%946 W · 1,249 L	-68.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Atreides	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,087	31.9%347 W · 740 L	-7.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Atreides	16c	180$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	3,267	45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L	-85.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Atreides	18c	176.19$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.77	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Atreides	23c	165.64$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.75	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	+10.2wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Atreides	15c	162.87$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.65	1,890	41.9%791 W · 1,099 L	-71.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Atreides	31c	160$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.6	1,087	37.5%408 W · 679 L	+33.8wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9d…e50dbacked Atreides	11c	159.64$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	84	46.4%39 W · 45 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Atreides	16c	156$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.36	2,397	42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L	-73.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4db1…528cbacked Eternal Fire	65c	141.74$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.74	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Atreides	25c	137.2$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.93	1,632	43.2%705 W · 927 L	-32.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed Atreides	13c	128.22$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.67	395	40.3%159 W · 236 L	+29.9wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f5b…315ebacked Atreides	15c	126.73$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.01	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Atreides	30c	123.78$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.55	2,143	47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L	-61.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25a4…69f6backed Eternal Fire	69c	120$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.2	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8fc…b543backed Atreides	31c	119.72$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.88	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa46…45eebacked Atreides	35c	108.96$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.69	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Atreides	31c	101.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.51	1,895	47.8%906 W · 989 L	-50.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x358c…2f9abacked Eternal Fire	69c	90.43$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.03	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	70cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Atreides	27c	88$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.76	1,121	42.5%476 W · 645 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Atreides	32c	86$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.52	503	49.3%248 W · 255 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Eternal Fire	66c	80$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.2	122	44.3%54 W · 68 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Eternal Fire	69c	72.46$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.46	446	54.9%245 W · 201 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x180a…bd66backed Eternal Fire	70c	71.43$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.43	163	55.2%90 W · 73 L	-8.3wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddfc…692dbacked Atreides	34c	69.14$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.78	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Atreides	31c	64.38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.08	378	48.1%182 W · 196 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb186…a946backed Atreides	34c	62$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37fb…d4dabacked Atreides	33c	61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.15per pick	64cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd85…1d60backed Eternal Fire	68c	58.48$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.48	201	47.3%95 W · 106 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked Eternal Fire	74c	56$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.74	55	38.2%21 W · 34 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x812c…b81fbacked Eternal Fire	70c	55.81$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.99	20	80%16 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Atreides	19c	52.86$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.28	207	45.9%95 W · 112 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Atreides	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	687	49.6%341 W · 346 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef1d…3080backed Eternal Fire	69c	48.52$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.04	132	58.3%77 W · 55 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Eternal Fire	67c	46.27$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.27	105	54.3%57 W · 48 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed Atreides	32c	45$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.35	414	37%153 W · 261 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0811…1870backed Eternal Fire	69c	43.7$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked Atreides	23c	43.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	80	31.3%25 W · 55 L	-5.4wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Eternal Fire	68c	36.76$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	198	47.5%94 W · 104 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b09…5f5bbacked Eternal Fire	70c	35.2$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Eternal Fire	69c	28.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	84	54.8%46 W · 38 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd056…3105backed Eternal Fire	69c	28.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Eternal Fire	77c	27$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.08	120	71.7%86 W · 34 L	+16.7wins	+0.14per pick	58cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9d3e…5d02backed Eternal Fire	79c	25.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.32	30	60%18 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	68cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe337…a44dbacked Eternal Fire	69c	24.49$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.59	105	57.1%60 W · 45 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1a…c5ebbacked Eternal Fire	69c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.2	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd93e…7434backed Eternal Fire	68c	14.73$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.71	40	67.5%27 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	69cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Eternal Fire	78c	14.14$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.09	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Atreides (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Atreides - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Atreides - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Atreides (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event