CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Atreides - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6c20e0832cebeeade56546d8a66496a696f1b613ffc0475369a1b778a08fb02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, Atreides
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Eternal Fire | 69c | 3,122$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.64 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides | 31c | 1,516$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.93 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Atreides | 9c | 1,415$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.93 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Atreides | 31c | 645.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Atreides | 5c | 628.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Atreides | 11c | 613.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Atreides | 34c | 295.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Atreides | 22c | 249.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Atreides | 10c | 177.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Atreides | 28c | 172$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Atreides | 39c | 165.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Atreides | 28c | 162.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…36f4backed Atreides | 31c | 156.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Atreides | 8c | 142.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Atreides | 31c | 141.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e5…8850backed Atreides | 14c | 130.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Atreides | 13c | 87.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5727…e484backed Atreides | 21c | 87.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Eternal Fire | 75c | 79.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eternal Fire | 70c | 74.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Atreides | 28c | 71.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 57.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed Eternal Fire | 71c | 53.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Atreides | 23c | 50.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed Atreides | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Atreides | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa46…45eebacked Atreides | 31c | 34.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Eternal Fire | 71c | 29.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Eternal Fire | 74c | 26.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Eternal Fire | 57c | 17.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Atreides - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Atreides (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 PlayoffsEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Atreides - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.