CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Atreides - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2bac715fc6d3fe862f67180d0c2eefebe4f4644b41b20228734b26a8af85262
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, Atreides
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Atreides | 10c | 4,256$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.57 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Eternal Fire | 71c | 3,737$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.37 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Atreides | 29c | 1,148$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.72 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Atreides | 29c | 654.82$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Atreides | 29c | 612.95$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.69 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Atreides | 20c | 474.61$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Atreides | 12c | 429.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides | 12c | 426.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Atreides | 8c | 353.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Eternal Fire | 73c | 308.62$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Atreides | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Atreides | 15c | 244.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Atreides | 23c | 238.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Atreides | 13c | 214.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Eternal Fire | 75c | 196.3$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Atreides | 20c | 191.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Atreides | 15c | 169.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Eternal Fire | 78c | 162.78$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…2c88backed Atreides | 29c | 147.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked Atreides | 34c | 144.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed Eternal Fire | 80c | 135.83$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Atreides | 18c | 135.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Atreides | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Atreides | 28c | 115.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Atreides | 24c | 111$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Atreides | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Atreides | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atreides | 19c | 93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Eternal Fire | 68c | 87.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…528cbacked Atreides | 29c | 85.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Atreides | 29c | 84.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atreides | 22c | 82.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Atreides | 33c | 81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Eternal Fire | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Atreides | 28c | 59.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5727…e484backed Eternal Fire | 73c | 48.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Atreides | 29c | 46.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…ceb9backed Atreides | 29c | 45.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…6573backed Atreides | 29c | 45.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Eternal Fire | 72c | 41.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…1d6bbacked Atreides | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Eternal Fire | 80c | 24.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Eternal Fire | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Atreides - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Atreides (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 PlayoffsEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Atreides - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.