Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36c52f4e9ca006c657320fdabc7ed816c7f3ef0c2fbb6ff0187447dcbf599cd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gen.G Esportsof Global Esports, Gen.G Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Gen.G Esports | 77c | 4,621$3,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.56 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Global Esports | 27c | 2,162$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.72 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Gen.G Esports | 63c | 1,316$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.09 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Global Esports | 45c | 934.78$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.34 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Global Esports | 31c | 633.85$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.01 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ed…b819backed Gen.G Esports | 74c | 532.73$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.01 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Global Esports | 34c | 498.63$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.39 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Global Esports | 33c | 422.36$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gen.G Esports | 50c | 408.67$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.03 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Global Esports | 45c | 406.84$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae4f…0967backed Global Esports | 23c | 397.07$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Gen.G Esports | 54c | 359.64$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.43 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Global Esports | 46c | 325.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Global Esports | 18c | 320$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Gen.G Esports | 41c | 311.07$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.37 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Global Esports | 40c | 304.49$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Global Esports | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Gen.G Esports | 69c | 277.86$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.17 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Global Esports | 47c | 273.59$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Global Esports | 40c | 268.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5745…2c49backed Global Esports | 46c | 260.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…bdebbacked Global Esports | 19c | 251.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41cd…d80dbacked Global Esports | 45c | 245.93$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Global Esports | 35c | 243.31$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Global Esports | 40c | 233.61$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Gen.G Esports | 56c | 227$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.88 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Gen.G Esports | 46c | 218.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.92 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Global Esports | 47c | 202.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.29 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…61d3backed Global Esports | 22c | 182.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Global Esports | 51c | 181.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Gen.G Esports | 72c | 176.27$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed Gen.G Esports | 78c | 172.73$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Global Esports | 60c | 148.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Gen.G Esports | 57c | 146.74$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…917bbacked Gen.G Esports | 80c | 139.9$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Global Esports | 32c | 132.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Global Esports | 51c | 123.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 84 | 81%68 W · 16 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked Gen.G Esports | 80c | 122.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Global Esports | 64c | 121.49$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed Global Esports | 34c | 121.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Global Esports | 28c | 112.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Global Esports | 29c | 102.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…b109backed Global Esports | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +22.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…56babacked Global Esports | 33c | 96.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…1f0dbacked Gen.G Esports | 56c | 89.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Gen.G Esports | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Gen.G Esports | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked Gen.G Esports | 60c | 82.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Global Esports | 37c | 80.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Global Esports | 38c | 73.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…2958backed Gen.G Esports | 54c | 73.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed Global Esports | 45c | 72.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Gen.G Esports | 56c | 68.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Gen.G Esports | 56c | 66.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked Global Esports | 30c | 65.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb6…052dbacked Global Esports | 34c | 65.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed Global Esports | 31c | 65.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Gen.G Esports | 58c | 63.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Global Esports | 45c | 60.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Gen.G Esports | 40c | 56.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8c…10eebacked Gen.G Esports | 58c | 51.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…6cb5backed Global Esports | 37c | 50.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…b0e5backed Gen.G Esports | 63c | 45.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Gen.G Esports | 63c | 41.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Gen.G Esports | 62c | 40.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Global Esports | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed8…2c70backed Gen.G Esports | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40c…d480backed Gen.G Esports | 58c | 38.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked Gen.G Esports | 73c | 38.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b2…633abacked Global Esports | 33c | 36.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8eb…4952backed Global Esports | 33c | 33.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9291…63d0backed Gen.G Esports | 62c | 32.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Global Esports | 44c | 29.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked Gen.G Esports | 51c | 28.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…340bbacked Gen.G Esports | 76c | 27.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13bd…a6c5backed Gen.G Esports | 72c | 20.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed Gen.G Esports | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fda…1407backed Global Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37fb…d4dabacked Global Esports | 61c | 18.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaGen.G Esports won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports - Map 1 WinnerGlobal Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.