TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.G Esportsof Global Esports, Gen.G Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$260,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$285,957

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,963 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8660…93edbacked Global Esports51c66,782$34,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,259.6817948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x969a…59ddbacked Gen.G Esports48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,399.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe55a…ecf7backed Gen.G Esports49c16,000$7,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,160683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+65.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Global Esports50c13,427$6,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,713.5328955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Gen.G Esports49c9,824$4,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,005.515952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Gen.G Esports49c7,500$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,824.998951.7%46 W · 43 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Global Esports50c7,486$3,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,742.919860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Gen.G Esports50c6,841$3,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,450.5233153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Global Esports50c4,962$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.2626738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed Global Esports72c4,779$3,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,441.166462.5%40 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Gen.G Esports50c4,758$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.5639646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Gen.G Esports45c4,635$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.6132141.7%134 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1982…be15backed Gen.G Esports60c4,083$2,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.673458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Gen.G Esports33c4,006$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,664.8110946.8%51 W · 58 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Global Esports51c3,934$2,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006.592556%14 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Gen.G Esports49c3,460$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.3319546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Gen.G Esports36c3,291$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.6632462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed Global Esports35c3,161$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.7710566.7%70 W · 35 L+10.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x322e…ef2cbacked Gen.G Esports49c3,120$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Gen.G Esports54c3,076$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.062737%10 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c23…cab3backed Gen.G Esports50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5007656.6%43 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1d9…a1b2backed Gen.G Esports49c2,900$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed Global Esports51c2,600$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3264158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Gen.G Esports50c2,591$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.634269%29 W · 13 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Gen.G Esports49c2,590$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.3951749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Gen.G Esports39c2,480$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.6522344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Global Esports51c2,400$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.9925660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Global Esports44c1,601$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.8714750.3%74 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Global Esports51c1,600$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8164161%25 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe49d…cc93backed Global Esports68c1,548$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.6330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x489b…a6ecbacked Global Esports66c1,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9901145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gen.G Esports47c1,443$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.8244342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Gen.G Esports50c1,403$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.343441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Gen.G Esports50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70034857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…fbfcbacked Gen.G Esports49c1,348$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.46450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x928d…5069backed Gen.G Esports60c1,305$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.71955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Gen.G Esports50c1,249$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.1193148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Gen.G Esports41c1,235$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.7246326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0faa…1725backed Global Esports67c1,222$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Global Esports46c1,196$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.4760022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Global Esports51c1,176$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04d2…4850backed Global Esports40c1,099$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.4513951.1%71 W · 68 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb66…c8dfbacked Gen.G Esports49c1,038$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.382055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Gen.G Esports50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5008640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Gen.G Esports50c999$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.555152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3d…e430backed Gen.G Esports50c996.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.45269.2%36 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Gen.G Esports49c917.83$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.8314941.6%62 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7290…bdf6backed Gen.G Esports50c875$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd385…34fbbacked Global Esports53c872.32$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.333655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked Gen.G Esports47c799.98$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.9919751.8%102 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Gen.G Esports48c788.53$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.044161%25 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+32.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Global Esports65c782.01$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.3849255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Global Esports51c772.72$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.095962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8a…9dfcbacked Gen.G Esports59c750$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Global Esports58c666.95$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.524365.1%28 W · 15 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Global Esports67c650$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.511843.2%51 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Gen.G Esports44c638.94$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.5596245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f18…1ae2backed Global Esports51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3065052%26 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Gen.G Esports51c575.21$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.211050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Global Esports50c574.24$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.2725556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b6…9c9fbacked Global Esports52c558.96$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Global Esports72c547.61$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.0462156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Global Esports32c533.55$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.954932.7%16 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Global Esports40c530$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.681,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a28…ff8cbacked Global Esports53c520.62$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.413250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Global Esports12c517$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8966438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Gen.G Esports48c500.1$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.0525453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Gen.G Esports49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25513743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Global Esports38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1909151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Global Esports58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29011354%61 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Global Esports50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508334.9%29 W · 54 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1bfb…8beabacked Gen.G Esports50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503060%18 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Gen.G Esports63c499.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18524457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Global Esports42c484.22$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.541,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Gen.G Esports46c443.62$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.6677744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked Gen.G Esports32c415.63$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.639737.1%36 W · 61 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Gen.G Esports47c411.28$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.982944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Global Esports63c405.41$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.310237.3%38 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1ed…b819backed Global Esports49c402.54$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.854060%24 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed Global Esports51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2047456.8%42 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Global Esports51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20428541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Global Esports60c396.67$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.9117853.9%96 W · 82 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Gen.G Esports51c395$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.552955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Global Esports52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20062856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf71e…917bbacked Global Esports55c381.82$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106867.6%46 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Gen.G Esports50c360$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18022440.2%90 W · 134 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd095…ad9abacked Global Esports52c336.54$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Global Esports51c333.89$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2835142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Global Esports44c331.73$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14614454.2%78 W · 66 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2172…5cdabacked Gen.G Esports51c323.79$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.21040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Global Esports45c308.64$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.651,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b1…df57backed Gen.G Esports33c303.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.916124.6%15 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9562…fbd4backed Global Esports63c301.55$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.784452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d3…5412backed Global Esports50c300.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed Gen.G Esports50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Gen.G Esports49c299.93$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9734443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed Gen.G Esports49c298$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.986051.7%31 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60cd…3e7ebacked Global Esports51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508246.3%38 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Global Esports47c289.15$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1719655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Global Esports58c285.88$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.846639.4%26 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.