Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7eb58856f4da8d9674cd7b8838d7d811f7b081c29f001266989b51338e605c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof EDward Gaming, Trace Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Trace Esports | 43c | 1,334$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.99 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Trace Esports | 41c | 1,214$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.94 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed EDward Gaming | 59c | 1,142$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.08 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed EDward Gaming | 67c | 1,000$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Trace Esports | 43c | 998.97$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.56 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040a…118dbacked EDward Gaming | 74c | 650$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Trace Esports | 36c | 619$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.77 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Trace Esports | 33c | 528.75$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.47 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked EDward Gaming | 58c | 408.82$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.55 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed EDward Gaming | 57c | 310.16$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.37 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Trace Esports | 47c | 231$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked EDward Gaming | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Trace Esports | 40c | 203.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Trace Esports | 45c | 194.21$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked EDward Gaming | 62c | 171.28$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Trace Esports | 47c | 157.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed EDward Gaming | 68c | 132.66$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…4e21backed Trace Esports | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310f…36a8backed EDward Gaming | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed EDward Gaming | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Trace Esports | 48c | 115.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37fb…d4dabacked EDward Gaming | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…c45dbacked EDward Gaming | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked EDward Gaming | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…4b1cbacked Trace Esports | 48c | 46.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…cc69backed EDward Gaming | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf205…8054backed EDward Gaming | 67c | 40.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Trace Esports | 28c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Trace Esports | 40c | 36.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Trace Esports | 40c | 36.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…000dbacked EDward Gaming | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Trace Esports | 46c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 403 | 45.9%185 W · 218 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…d785backed EDward Gaming | 50c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Trace Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs Trace Esports (+3.5)EDward Gaming won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs Trace Esports (+3.5)Trace Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-4.5) vs Trace Esports (+4.5)Trace Esports won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group AlphaEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.