Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd5bf23609fc8aaef10a21a9b5827c312d976e6d0bdcdbca1a835e0f435439f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EDward Gamingof Trace Esports, EDward Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Trace Esports | 16c | 4,000$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.27 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Trace Esports | 13c | 3,813$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.27 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Trace Esports | 13c | 3,014$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.86 | 223 | 44.4%99 W · 124 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Trace Esports | 13c | 1,235$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.98 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Trace Esports | 12c | 1,179$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.35 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Trace Esports | 10c | 869.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Trace Esports | 8c | 867.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Trace Esports | 12c | 681.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Trace Esports | 16c | 600$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Trace Esports | 12c | 563.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Trace Esports | 17c | 500.22$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Trace Esports | 20c | 495$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…aea9backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 465$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Trace Esports | 13c | 329.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2e…3ceabacked Trace Esports | 15c | 294.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6826…dd78backed Trace Esports | 7c | 276.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Trace Esports | 14c | 257.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Trace Esports | 13c | 237.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Trace Esports | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed EDward Gaming | 78c | 223.15$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Trace Esports | 18c | 170.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7070…821cbacked Trace Esports | 12c | 170.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Trace Esports | 18c | 143.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Trace Esports | 13c | 142.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Trace Esports | 16c | 141.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Trace Esports | 18c | 139.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Trace Esports | 11c | 139.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Trace Esports | 12c | 124.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 115.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked EDward Gaming | 78c | 102.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked Trace Esports | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Trace Esports | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Trace Esports | 11c | 93.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Trace Esports | 19c | 83.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Trace Esports | 13c | 82.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Trace Esports | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…21e1backed Trace Esports | 17c | 64.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Trace Esports | 22c | 61.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Trace Esports | 24c | 47.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Trace Esports | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…af07backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…ecfabacked EDward Gaming | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed1…7d4dbacked EDward Gaming | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked EDward Gaming | 79c | 23.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed EDward Gaming | 79c | 20.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphathis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs Trace Esports (+3.5)EDward Gaming won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-3.5) vs Trace Esports (+3.5)Trace Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-4.5) vs Trace Esports (+4.5)Trace Esports won
- Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)EDward Gaming won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.