Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: REJECT vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79f085c05a6bcec0cc42eb4209c3ab80bf69bc7e946ef263647e0fa86f16c954
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REJECTof REJECT, IGZIST
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bc…decabacked IGZIST | 20c | 12,282$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.36 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked REJECT | 80c | 4,536$3,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.47 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed IGZIST | 20c | 3,750$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…2a58backed REJECT | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed IGZIST | 18c | 1,173$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed IGZIST | 22c | 828.62$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.96 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…64b6backed IGZIST | 14c | 679.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed IGZIST | 19c | 580.84$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed REJECT | 80c | 548.41$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.59 | 136 | 61%83 W · 53 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked REJECT | 76c | 441$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed REJECT | 78c | 431.98$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…417abacked REJECT | 73c | 367.73$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed REJECT | 80c | 350$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed REJECT | 75c | 333.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed IGZIST | 10c | 289.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked REJECT | 75c | 267.36$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked REJECT | 80c | 259.67$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed IGZIST | 23c | 218.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…a25cbacked IGZIST | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…71e9backed IGZIST | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REJECT | 79c | 156.29$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed REJECT | 78c | 144.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2e…3ceabacked IGZIST | 13c | 133.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x065c…47debacked REJECT | 80c | 126.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72da…9b77backed IGZIST | 20c | 119.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed REJECT | 80c | 117.35$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d15…4a14backed IGZIST | 20c | 116.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked REJECT | 77c | 105.43$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed IGZIST | 21c | 103.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked REJECT | 77c | 103.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab5…07ccbacked IGZIST | 14c | 103.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed IGZIST | 20c | 100.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed IGZIST | 20c | 86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed REJECT | 72c | 76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked REJECT | 79c | 65.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked REJECT | 78c | 61.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked IGZIST | 19c | 55.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed IGZIST | 21c | 53.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed IGZIST | 24c | 52.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked IGZIST | 21c | 52.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked IGZIST | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked IGZIST | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8b…e621backed IGZIST | 25c | 49.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked REJECT | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…fd00backed REJECT | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked REJECT | 79c | 43.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked REJECT | 80c | 42.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed REJECT | 78c | 39.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked REJECT | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed REJECT | 79c | 35.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed REJECT | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37fb…d4dabacked REJECT | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed REJECT | 80c | 25.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…7143backed REJECT | 77c | 21.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e84…6624backed REJECT | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +5.3wins | +0.38per pick | 55cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked REJECT | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689b…3db1backed REJECT | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed REJECT | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…99ecbacked REJECT | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked REJECT | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked REJECT | 80c | 15.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked REJECT | 70c | 15.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: REJECT vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Season Finals Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: RC (-1.5) vs IGZIST (+1.5)REJECT won
- Valorant: REJECT vs IGZIST - Map 1 WinnerREJECT won
- Valorant: REJECT vs IGZIST - Map 2 WinnerREJECT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.